Elevated, dry ground above the floodplain, 8th-percentile crime, the district's best rail proximity (directly adjacent to Ferny Grove, ~5 min), strong 10.6% rent momentum, and built-out Waraba-insulated scarcity — a genuinely well-rounded profile.
3.2% yield on a $1.19m median with a 13% rental base means top-ups, not income; 1970s–80s stock adds upkeep the fund carries.
No in-suburb station (Ferny Grove is over the Brisbane City line), and the flood-free read is topographic — verify overland flow at the address.
A strong second to Everton Hills: dry ground, low crime, best-in-district rail access and rent momentum make this a quality contribution-funded hold. Gate on a dry street and the least-dated house available.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ✓ Good | 12.4% compound over 5 yrs, 19% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ✗ Bad | 3.2% gross — heavy negative cash flow inside the fund — the growth has to justify it. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ✓ Good | Sits on elevated ground above the South Pine floodplain (per regional topography) — dry ground, low insurance drag; verify overland-flow at address level. Grokipedia South Pine River topography; MBRC Flood Check (verify) |
| Crime | ✓ Good | Among the LGA's lowest — violent 706/100k (8th pct), break-ins 183 (9th pct), MV theft 286 (12th pct). OpenStats 2022–24 (QPS/ABS) |
| Infrastructure | ✓ Good | Local shops, directly adjacent to Ferny Grove, schools, Samford Rd arterial to Brisbane; TPCH Chermside the nearest tertiary hospital. Transport factpack; Metro North |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ✓ Good | 86% owned / 13% rented, 82% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand). ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ✓ Good | Built-out; infill only, no greenfield, Waraba-insulated. MBRC supply pipeline |
| Distance to rail | ◐ Mixed | No in-suburb station, but directly adjacent to Ferny Grove (~5 min) — the best rail access in the district. Translink / Ferny Grove line |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ◐ Mixed | Predominantly 1970s–80s stock — mixed-era upkeep the fund carries. editorial — stock-age judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $670,000 | 168 |
| 2021-08-31 | $674,000 | 168 |
| 2021-09-30 | $700,000 | 167 |
| 2021-10-31 | $710,000 | 166 |
| 2021-11-30 | $745,000 | 167 |
| 2021-12-31 | $772,750 | 174 |
| 2022-01-31 | $790,500 | 178 |
| 2022-02-28 | $815,000 | 185 |
| 2022-03-31 | $831,000 | 179 |
| 2022-04-30 | $850,000 | 178 |
| 2022-05-31 | $862,000 | 173 |
| 2022-06-30 | $875,000 | 159 |
| 2022-07-31 | $880,000 | 148 |
| 2022-08-31 | $881,050 | 150 |
| 2022-09-30 | $881,100 | 149 |
| 2022-10-31 | $880,000 | 143 |
| 2022-11-30 | $881,050 | 130 |
| 2022-12-31 | $878,000 | 120 |
| 2023-01-31 | $875,000 | 115 |
| 2023-02-28 | $863,500 | 112 |
| 2023-03-31 | $867,500 | 108 |
| 2023-04-30 | $860,500 | 108 |
| 2023-05-31 | $846,500 | 110 |
| 2023-06-30 | $850,000 | 125 |
| 2023-07-31 | $843,000 | 123 |
| 2023-08-31 | $842,750 | 120 |
| 2023-09-30 | $847,500 | 124 |
| 2023-10-31 | $860,000 | 128 |
| 2023-11-30 | $860,000 | 133 |
| 2023-12-31 | $873,000 | 134 |
| 2024-01-31 | $881,000 | 138 |
| 2024-02-29 | $890,000 | 140 |
| 2024-03-31 | $900,000 | 139 |
| 2024-04-30 | $905,000 | 141 |
| 2024-05-31 | $914,999 | 143 |
| 2024-06-30 | $920,000 | 134 |
| 2024-07-31 | $925,000 | 142 |
| 2024-08-31 | $925,000 | 146 |
| 2024-09-30 | $950,000 | 144 |
| 2024-10-31 | $961,000 | 146 |
| 2024-11-30 | $969,289 | 138 |
| 2024-12-31 | $968,577 | 135 |
| 2025-01-31 | $970,000 | 132 |
| 2025-02-28 | $997,500 | 130 |
| 2025-03-31 | $987,000 | 132 |
| 2025-04-30 | $991,000 | 132 |
| 2025-05-31 | $997,500 | 128 |
| 2025-06-30 | $1,002,000 | 125 |
| 2025-07-31 | $1,011,500 | 122 |
| 2025-08-31 | $1,030,500 | 118 |
| 2025-09-30 | $1,050,000 | 113 |
| 2025-10-31 | $1,055,000 | 107 |
| 2025-11-30 | $1,062,500 | 114 |
| 2025-12-31 | $1,065,000 | 119 |
| 2026-01-31 | $1,074,850 | 121 |
| 2026-02-28 | $1,100,000 | 117 |
| 2026-03-31 | $1,117,500 | 122 |
| 2026-04-30 | $1,150,000 | 115 |
| 2026-05-31 | $1,170,000 | 113 |
| 2026-06-30 | $1,192,500 | 106 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $500/wk | 104 |
| 2021-08-31 | $500/wk | 103 |
| 2021-09-30 | $500/wk | 96 |
| 2021-10-31 | $510/wk | 98 |
| 2021-11-30 | $510/wk | 94 |
| 2021-12-31 | $520/wk | 102 |
| 2022-01-31 | $525/wk | 111 |
| 2022-02-28 | $525/wk | 115 |
| 2022-03-31 | $530/wk | 116 |
| 2022-04-30 | $533/wk | 114 |
| 2022-05-31 | $538/wk | 114 |
| 2022-06-30 | $550/wk | 118 |
| 2022-07-31 | $550/wk | 112 |
| 2022-08-31 | $550/wk | 115 |
| 2022-09-30 | $573/wk | 116 |
| 2022-10-31 | $575/wk | 112 |
| 2022-11-30 | $575/wk | 111 |
| 2022-12-31 | $578/wk | 108 |
| 2023-01-31 | $580/wk | 110 |
| 2023-02-28 | $590/wk | 101 |
| 2023-03-31 | $600/wk | 94 |
| 2023-04-30 | $600/wk | 94 |
| 2023-05-31 | $600/wk | 97 |
| 2023-06-30 | $610/wk | 101 |
| 2023-07-31 | $618/wk | 98 |
| 2023-08-31 | $618/wk | 102 |
| 2023-09-30 | $620/wk | 99 |
| 2023-10-31 | $630/wk | 101 |
| 2023-11-30 | $630/wk | 104 |
| 2023-12-31 | $630/wk | 106 |
| 2024-01-31 | $630/wk | 102 |
| 2024-02-29 | $650/wk | 108 |
| 2024-03-31 | $650/wk | 107 |
| 2024-04-30 | $630/wk | 113 |
| 2024-05-31 | $650/wk | 112 |
| 2024-06-30 | $650/wk | 110 |
| 2024-07-31 | $650/wk | 108 |
| 2024-08-31 | $650/wk | 106 |
| 2024-09-30 | $650/wk | 105 |
| 2024-10-31 | $650/wk | 105 |
| 2024-11-30 | $650/wk | 101 |
| 2024-12-31 | $650/wk | 99 |
| 2025-01-31 | $650/wk | 94 |
| 2025-02-28 | $650/wk | 94 |
| 2025-03-31 | $650/wk | 91 |
| 2025-04-30 | $655/wk | 92 |
| 2025-05-31 | $660/wk | 88 |
| 2025-06-30 | $660/wk | 88 |
| 2025-07-31 | $670/wk | 87 |
| 2025-08-31 | $675/wk | 84 |
| 2025-09-30 | $675/wk | 87 |
| 2025-10-31 | $688/wk | 90 |
| 2025-11-30 | $700/wk | 93 |
| 2025-12-31 | $720/wk | 91 |
| 2026-01-31 | $720/wk | 93 |
| 2026-02-28 | $720/wk | 97 |
| 2026-03-31 | $725/wk | 101 |
| 2026-04-30 | $735/wk | 104 |
| 2026-05-31 | $735/wk | 102 |
| 2026-06-30 | $730/wk | 101 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $980k | $1.17m | $1.23m | $1.57m |
| Median rent | $530/wk | $700/wk | $800/wk | $895/wk |
| Implied yield | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| School | Level | Grades | Sector | Students |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricks Road State School | Primary | Prep-6 | Government | 784 |
| Ferny Hills State School | Primary | Prep-6 | Government | 404 |
| Childcare centre | Rating | Reviews | Day rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| C&K Birralee Childcare Centre | Exceeding NQS | 4.9 ★ (19) | $144 |
| Only About Children Ferny Hills | Meeting NQS | 4.9 ★ (51) | POA |
| Willmore Community Kindergarten & Preschool | Exceeding NQS | 4.7 ★ (13) | POA |
| Address | Sold price |
|---|---|
| 5 Woodgate Court, Ferny Hills | $1,850,000 |
| 7 Dellwood Court, Ferny Hills | $1,750,000 |
| 9 Woodburn Place, Ferny Hills | $1,420,000 |
| 9 Barber Road, Ferny Hills | $1,345,000 |
| 26 Parnoolar Cres, Ferny Hills | $1,300,000 |
| 46 Caesar Road, Ferny Hills | $1,262,000 |
| 130 Kylie Avenue, Ferny Hills | $1,240,000 |
| 22 Kolora Cres, Ferny Hills | $1,200,000 |
| 12 Wanawong Court, Ferny Hills | $1,180,987 |
| 1 Cranwood Court, Ferny Hills | $1,100,000 |
| 4 Bel Air Court, Ferny Hills | $1,054,000 |