The balanced hold: 18.6% growth, low crime, station + Bruce Hwy, 70% owner-occupied for resale depth, and 5.7% rent growth on a 30% rental base.
3.5% yield means mild top-ups, and the stock era swings from 80s acreage to new estates — repair exposure is house-by-house. Creek-line streets need the flood check.
North Harbour keeps delivering new rental competition to the east — a softer version of the Waraba problem, but the supply valve is open.
A middle-path SMSF hold: decent growth, tolerable cash flow, real resale depth. Nothing best-in-corridor, nothing disqualifying. 5 favourites — prioritise the newer builds among them.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ✓ Good | 14.7% compound over 5 yrs, 18.6% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ◐ Mixed | 3.5% gross — expect contribution top-ups at LRBA rates; losses stay trapped in the fund at 15%. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ◐ Mixed | Burpengary Creek corridors flood; most streets sit clear. Council flood mapping |
| Crime | ✓ Good | Relatively safe (severity rank ~11/100) — well below Caboolture. QPS via RedSuburbs |
| Infrastructure | ✓ Good | Station, Bruce Hwy access, solid retail; North Harbour marina precinct rising to the east. editorial; The Urban Developer |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ✓ Good | 68% owned / 30% rented, 77% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand). ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ◐ Mixed | North Harbour / Burpengary East still delivering thousands of lots next door. developer announcements |
| Distance to rail | ✓ Good | Burpengary station on the Caboolture line. Translink network |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ◐ Mixed | 1980s–90s homes and acreage alongside new estates — varies widely. editorial — stock-age judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $495,000 | 324 |
| 2021-08-31 | $500,000 | 329 |
| 2021-09-30 | $508,700 | 332 |
| 2021-10-31 | $516,950 | 331 |
| 2021-11-30 | $531,500 | 328 |
| 2021-12-31 | $550,000 | 326 |
| 2022-01-31 | $553,750 | 328 |
| 2022-02-28 | $570,000 | 323 |
| 2022-03-31 | $590,000 | 306 |
| 2022-04-30 | $602,500 | 307 |
| 2022-05-31 | $630,000 | 286 |
| 2022-06-30 | $650,000 | 271 |
| 2022-07-31 | $666,000 | 270 |
| 2022-08-31 | $670,000 | 265 |
| 2022-09-30 | $700,000 | 255 |
| 2022-10-31 | $700,000 | 252 |
| 2022-11-30 | $700,000 | 247 |
| 2022-12-31 | $699,500 | 246 |
| 2023-01-31 | $690,000 | 245 |
| 2023-02-28 | $700,000 | 243 |
| 2023-03-31 | $702,500 | 242 |
| 2023-04-30 | $694,500 | 236 |
| 2023-05-31 | $689,250 | 228 |
| 2023-06-30 | $680,000 | 226 |
| 2023-07-31 | $680,000 | 234 |
| 2023-08-31 | $683,500 | 240 |
| 2023-09-30 | $687,250 | 238 |
| 2023-10-31 | $690,000 | 250 |
| 2023-11-30 | $692,500 | 260 |
| 2023-12-31 | $705,000 | 261 |
| 2024-01-31 | $710,000 | 261 |
| 2024-02-29 | $712,500 | 278 |
| 2024-03-31 | $720,000 | 288 |
| 2024-04-30 | $730,250 | 298 |
| 2024-05-31 | $740,000 | 319 |
| 2024-06-30 | $749,900 | 328 |
| 2024-07-31 | $749,900 | 331 |
| 2024-08-31 | $760,000 | 342 |
| 2024-09-30 | $763,060 | 352 |
| 2024-10-31 | $769,900 | 345 |
| 2024-11-30 | $770,000 | 339 |
| 2024-12-31 | $770,000 | 337 |
| 2025-01-31 | $775,000 | 349 |
| 2025-02-28 | $780,000 | 340 |
| 2025-03-31 | $800,000 | 329 |
| 2025-04-30 | $807,500 | 326 |
| 2025-05-31 | $816,450 | 314 |
| 2025-06-30 | $817,900 | 309 |
| 2025-07-31 | $828,750 | 302 |
| 2025-08-31 | $830,078 | 281 |
| 2025-09-30 | $860,000 | 281 |
| 2025-10-31 | $870,000 | 287 |
| 2025-11-30 | $889,500 | 294 |
| 2025-12-31 | $900,000 | 295 |
| 2026-01-31 | $907,500 | 280 |
| 2026-02-28 | $923,750 | 268 |
| 2026-03-31 | $935,000 | 268 |
| 2026-04-30 | $950,000 | 269 |
| 2026-05-31 | $950,000 | 252 |
| 2026-06-30 | $970,000 | 239 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $420/wk | 249 |
| 2021-08-31 | $420/wk | 250 |
| 2021-09-30 | $425/wk | 238 |
| 2021-10-31 | $425/wk | 239 |
| 2021-11-30 | $430/wk | 230 |
| 2021-12-31 | $430/wk | 218 |
| 2022-01-31 | $440/wk | 219 |
| 2022-02-28 | $440/wk | 212 |
| 2022-03-31 | $445/wk | 210 |
| 2022-04-30 | $450/wk | 203 |
| 2022-05-31 | $450/wk | 203 |
| 2022-06-30 | $450/wk | 208 |
| 2022-07-31 | $460/wk | 199 |
| 2022-08-31 | $480/wk | 197 |
| 2022-09-30 | $500/wk | 198 |
| 2022-10-31 | $500/wk | 196 |
| 2022-11-30 | $520/wk | 205 |
| 2022-12-31 | $520/wk | 207 |
| 2023-01-31 | $520/wk | 213 |
| 2023-02-28 | $520/wk | 217 |
| 2023-03-31 | $520/wk | 224 |
| 2023-04-30 | $530/wk | 233 |
| 2023-05-31 | $530/wk | 249 |
| 2023-06-30 | $540/wk | 248 |
| 2023-07-31 | $540/wk | 264 |
| 2023-08-31 | $550/wk | 285 |
| 2023-09-30 | $550/wk | 288 |
| 2023-10-31 | $550/wk | 298 |
| 2023-11-30 | $560/wk | 295 |
| 2023-12-31 | $565/wk | 297 |
| 2024-01-31 | $580/wk | 298 |
| 2024-02-29 | $580/wk | 306 |
| 2024-03-31 | $580/wk | 300 |
| 2024-04-30 | $580/wk | 308 |
| 2024-05-31 | $590/wk | 305 |
| 2024-06-30 | $595/wk | 308 |
| 2024-07-31 | $600/wk | 316 |
| 2024-08-31 | $600/wk | 301 |
| 2024-09-30 | $600/wk | 300 |
| 2024-10-31 | $600/wk | 299 |
| 2024-11-30 | $600/wk | 307 |
| 2024-12-31 | $600/wk | 309 |
| 2025-01-31 | $600/wk | 307 |
| 2025-02-28 | $610/wk | 307 |
| 2025-03-31 | $615/wk | 305 |
| 2025-04-30 | $620/wk | 303 |
| 2025-05-31 | $620/wk | 303 |
| 2025-06-30 | $620/wk | 341 |
| 2025-07-31 | $630/wk | 351 |
| 2025-08-31 | $630/wk | 363 |
| 2025-09-30 | $630/wk | 364 |
| 2025-10-31 | $630/wk | 368 |
| 2025-11-30 | $640/wk | 359 |
| 2025-12-31 | $640/wk | 352 |
| 2026-01-31 | $640/wk | 351 |
| 2026-02-28 | $650/wk | 349 |
| 2026-03-31 | $650/wk | 352 |
| 2026-04-30 | $650/wk | 355 |
| 2026-05-31 | $650/wk | 374 |
| 2026-06-30 | $655/wk | 371 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $1.10m | $880k | $975k | $1.29m |
| Median rent | $498/wk | $600/wk | $665/wk | $1,000/wk |
| Implied yield | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
| School | Level | Grades | Sector | Students |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Eugene College | Primary | Prep-12 | Catholic | 1,391 |
| Burpengary State School | Primary | Prep-6 | Government | 877 |
| Burpengary Meadows State School | Primary | Prep-6 | Government | 676 |
| - | Primary | — | Independent | — |
| St Eugene College | Secondary | Prep-12 | Catholic | 1,391 |
| Burpengary State Secondary College | Secondary | 7-12 | Government | 1,123 |
| - | Secondary | — | Independent | — |
| Childcare centre | Rating | Reviews | Day rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Busy Bees at Burpengary East | Exceeding NQS | 4.9 ★ (43) | $170 |
| Goodstart Early Learning Burpengary - Buckley Road | Meeting NQS | — | $137 |
| Goodstart Early Learning Burpengary - Rowley Road | Meeting NQS | 4.9 ★ (9) | $130 |
| Inspiring Minds Early Learning Centre | Meeting NQS | 4.4 ★ (44) | $109 |
| LEAD Childcare Burpengary | Meeting NQS | 4.3 ★ (12) | $133 |
| Address | Sold price |
|---|---|
| 113-115 Hawthorn Road, Burpengary | $1,850,000 |
| 123 Facer Road, Burpengary | $1,800,000 |
| 55-59 Canopy Place, Burpengary | $1,600,000 |
| 550-554 Oakey Flat Road, Burpengary | $1,600,000 |
| 30 William Road, Burpengary | $1,440,000 |
| 29 Colleen Cres, Burpengary | $1,400,000 |
| 27-29 Blackbutt Court, Burpengary | $1,335,000 |
| 45 Oakey Fields Court, Burpengary | $1,240,000 |
| 17 Borodin Court, Burpengary | $1,220,000 |
| 21 Cavalli Cres, Burpengary | $1,170,000 |
| 51 Fernando Street, Burpengary | $1,087,500 |
| Address | B/B/C | Land | Price | vs Bed Med. | Suburb yield | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Daly Court | 4/2/2 | 766 m² | — | — | — | clear |
| 2 Derwent Street | 4/2/2 | 603 m² | $910k | 93% | 3.8% | clear |
| 23 Welsh Street | 4/2/2 | 600 m² | $925k | 95% | 3.7% | ⚠ Fire |
| 4 Beatrice Place | 4/2/2 | 830 m² | $999k | 102% | 3.5% | ⚠ Flood |
| 4 Claudia Street | 4/2/2 | 602 m² | — | — | — | clear |