Highest asking rent in the cluster ($800/wk) and the strongest five-year rent CAGR on record (24.6%), on a rural locality with no new-supply pipeline.
The market is barely a market - 3 sales and 1 rental in a year, a 14% rental base and a -24.9% twelve-month median move - so every headline number is noise, and the stock is old rural acreage on septic that LRBA money cannot repair.
Named among TC Alfred's storm-surge-concern communities and carrying the passage-wide +310mm backflow overhang, with no rail and no town centre - a thin, hazard-exposed holding with a weak yield trajectory.
The clearest no on data depth: a 3-sale-a-year rural market with repair-heavy old stock and coastal-hazard exposure is the wrong shape for an SMSF income hold. Pass.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ✗ Bad | 7.2% compound over 5 yrs, -24.9% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ◐ Mixed | 4.4% gross — expect contribution top-ups at LRBA rates; losses stay trapped in the fund at 15%. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ◐ Mixed | Named among TC Alfred (Mar 2025) storm-surge-concern communities, but a predominantly rural/inland locality - the low creek/passage fringe is exposed while elevated rural pockets stay dry. Passage high tide up ~310mm since the breakthrough adds backflow risk. Check MBRC Flood Check at the address. Moreton Daily TC Alfred (2025); MBRC Bribie SEMP (2023); MBRC Flood Check |
| Crime | ✓ Good | No suburb-level rate data; falls under the below-average Bribie Island police division, and neighbouring Sandstone Point, Ningi and Beachmere all read well below the QLD average. Verify on the QPS crime map. OpenStats 2022-24 (division/neighbour inference); QPS crime map (verify) |
| Infrastructure | ✗ Bad | Rural locality with no town centre and no rail; ~18 min drive to Caboolture for hospital, retail and the Bruce Hwy. Transport factpack (Translink/TMR 2026) |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ✓ Good | 83% owned / 14% rented, 78% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand). ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ◐ Mixed | No project-level supply pipeline; rural and coastal-hazard-constrained scarcity, insulated from the Caboolture greenfield front but demand-thin. Supply factpack (Living Coast Plan 2023; UNCERTAIN project data) |
| Distance to rail | ✗ Bad | No station; nearest heavy rail is Caboolture, ~18 min drive. Transport factpack (Translink 2026) |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ✗ Bad | Predominantly older rural dwellings on acreage and septic - exactly the repair-heavy stock LRBA money cannot improve, a direct drain on fund cash. editorial - stock-age judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $680,000 | 8 |
| 2021-08-31 | $705,000 | 9 |
| 2021-09-30 | $705,000 | 7 |
| 2021-10-31 | $705,000 | 7 |
| 2021-11-30 | $785,000 | 9 |
| 2021-12-31 | $785,000 | 7 |
| 2022-01-31 | $785,000 | 7 |
| 2022-02-28 | $782,500 | 6 |
| 2022-03-31 | $782,500 | 6 |
| 2022-04-30 | $705,000 | 5 |
| 2022-05-31 | $860,000 | 5 |
| 2022-06-30 | $860,000 | 5 |
| 2022-07-31 | $860,000 | 5 |
| 2022-08-31 | $872,500 | 4 |
| 2022-09-30 | $872,500 | 4 |
| 2022-10-31 | $860,000 | 5 |
| 2022-11-30 | $730,500 | 4 |
| 2022-12-31 | $730,500 | 4 |
| 2023-01-31 | $730,500 | 4 |
| 2023-02-28 | $730,500 | 4 |
| 2023-03-31 | $918,000 | 4 |
| 2023-04-30 | $970,000 | 5 |
| 2023-05-31 | $878,000 | 4 |
| 2023-06-30 | $878,000 | 4 |
| 2023-07-31 | $878,000 | 4 |
| 2023-08-31 | $878,000 | 4 |
| 2023-09-30 | $878,000 | 4 |
| 2023-10-31 | $970,000 | 3 |
| 2023-11-30 | $1,200,000 | 2 |
| 2023-12-31 | $1,200,000 | 2 |
| 2024-01-31 | $1,200,000 | 2 |
| 2024-02-29 | $1,200,000 | 2 |
| 2024-03-31 | $970,000 | 1 |
| 2024-05-31 | $1,350,000 | 1 |
| 2024-06-30 | $1,143,000 | 3 |
| 2024-07-31 | $1,143,000 | 5 |
| 2024-08-31 | $1,143,000 | 5 |
| 2024-09-30 | $1,143,000 | 5 |
| 2024-10-31 | $1,143,000 | 5 |
| 2024-11-30 | $1,143,000 | 5 |
| 2024-12-31 | $1,246,500 | 6 |
| 2025-01-31 | $1,246,500 | 6 |
| 2025-02-28 | $1,246,500 | 6 |
| 2025-03-31 | $1,246,500 | 6 |
| 2025-04-30 | $1,265,000 | 7 |
| 2025-05-31 | $1,143,000 | 7 |
| 2025-06-30 | $1,265,000 | 5 |
| 2025-07-31 | $1,080,000 | 4 |
| 2025-08-31 | $1,080,000 | 4 |
| 2025-09-30 | $1,080,000 | 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | $1,080,000 | 4 |
| 2025-11-30 | $950,000 | 5 |
| 2025-12-31 | $922,500 | 4 |
| 2026-01-31 | $950,000 | 5 |
| 2026-02-28 | $950,000 | 5 |
| 2026-03-31 | $950,000 | 5 |
| 2026-04-30 | $922,500 | 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | $950,000 | 3 |
| 2026-06-30 | $950,000 | 3 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-31 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-02-28 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-03-31 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-04-30 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-05-31 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-06-30 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-07-31 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-08-31 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-09-30 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-10-31 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-11-30 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2022-12-31 | $470/wk | 1 |
| 2024-11-30 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2024-12-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-01-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-02-28 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-03-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-04-30 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-05-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-06-30 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-07-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-08-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-09-30 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-10-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-11-30 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2025-12-31 | $400/wk | 1 |
| 2026-03-31 | $800/wk | 1 |
| 2026-04-30 | $800/wk | 1 |
| 2026-05-31 | $800/wk | 1 |
| 2026-06-30 | $800/wk | 1 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | — | $923k | $1.16m | — |
| Median rent | — | — | $800/wk | — |
| Implied yield | — | — | 3.6% | — |