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Godwin Beach

QLD 4511City of Moreton Bay → Pumicestone mainland coastprofiled 2026-07-18
Median price
$935,000
0.3%
Median rent
$753/wk
17.7%
Gross yield
4.2%
median rent ×52 ÷ median price
Sales 12m
8
8 rental listings
Saved favourites
0
in your collection
Room demand
people per room listed

Scores 0–10 against the SMSF rubric · edit data/scores.json

Overall
5.5
weighted 20% past · 35% present · 45% future
Past
7.2
Price 12.6%/yr (A8.0) · rent 13.7%/yr (B9.5) · thin, 3 negative stretches (C4.0) · storm-tide-punctuated foreshore arc (D5.5).
Present
5.8
Yield 4.2% (8.0) · tiny tenant pool, 21% rented (3.5) · conditions crime good / flood+infra bad / maint mixed = 4.75 · rent-led momentum (6.5).
Future
4.5
Hazard-capped supply, mixed (5.5) · cul-de-sac, no rail or catalyst (demand 3.0) · yield trajectory 6.3 · foreshore storm-tide, bad (2.5).

The good, the bad, the ugly narrative verdict — evidence in the lens below · edit data/verdicts.json

The good

The best headline yield in the cluster (~4.2%) and the strongest five-year rent CAGR (13.7%), on genuine waterfront scarcity with no competing development pipeline.

The bad

Those numbers ride on tiny volumes (8 sales and 8 rentals a year), a 21% rental base and a cul-de-sac with no rail and no services - the market is too thin to lean on and hard to exit.

The ugly

It is a low-lying tidal-foreshore beach hamlet with almost no high ground; the breakthrough's +310mm high tide has brought forward decades of sea-level rise, so backflow and storm-tide insurance sit structurally against an LRBA hold.

Net read from the data

A pretty yield on paper, but a flood-exposed micro-market the fund cannot easily exit - avoid for an LRBA long hold, as nothing here offsets the coastal-liquidity risk.

Investment lens 2 good · 4 mixed · 3 bad · computed from data + sourced research — each row cites its source

DimensionVerdictWhy
Capital growth Mixed12.6% compound over 5 yrs, -0.3% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below.
trend data (this DB)
Rental yield Mixed4.2% gross — expect contribution top-ups at LRBA rates; losses stay trapped in the fund at 15%.
PropTrack via suburb page
Flood risk BadA low-lying tidal-foreshore beach cul-de-sac on Pumicestone Passage with almost no elevated hinterland - stated storm-tide + backflow exposed. The Bribie breakthrough raised passage high tide ~310mm, bringing forward ~20-30 years of sea-level rise and chronic stormwater backflow.
Flood factpack section 8 (MBRC Bribie SEMP 2023); Sunshine Coast breakthrough analysis
Crime GoodNo suburb-level rate data; falls under the below-average Bribie Island police division, and neighbouring Sandstone Point, Ningi and Beachmere all sit well below the QLD average. Verify on the QPS crime map.
OpenStats 2022-24 (division/neighbour inference); QPS crime map (verify)
Infrastructure BadCoastal cul-de-sac; no rail and no retail centre; ~20-25 min to Caboolture services via Caboolture-Bribie Island Rd.
Transport factpack (Translink/TMR 2026)
Owner-occupier appeal Good77% owned / 21% rented, 76% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand).
ABS via suburb page
New supply risk MixedNo project-level pipeline and coastal-hazard-constrained - scarce, but the scarcity is the flood line rather than demand pressure; insulated from the Caboolture greenfield front.
Supply factpack (Living Coast Plan 2023; UNCERTAIN project data)
Distance to rail BadNo station; nearest heavy rail is Caboolture, ~20-25 min drive.
Transport factpack (Translink 2026)
Housing stock & upkeep MixedOld fibro beach cottages through to newer builds, with foreshore stock and septic on larger lots - inspect era carefully as LRBA cannot fund improvements.
editorial - stock-age judgment

5-year trend rolling 12-month medians, exact chart data

Median house sale price

each point = median of the 12 months ending then
$480k$687k$895k$1.10m202120222023202420252026
View data table
MonthValueSample
2021-07-31$522,50015
2021-08-31$522,50017
2021-09-30$526,25016
2021-10-31$530,00015
2021-11-30$687,50012
2021-12-31$605,00012
2022-01-31$605,00012
2022-02-28$605,00012
2022-03-31$605,00014
2022-04-30$680,00016
2022-05-31$680,00017
2022-06-30$680,00016
2022-07-31$640,00016
2022-08-31$680,00012
2022-09-30$680,00012
2022-10-31$709,50012
2022-11-30$680,00010
2022-12-31$730,0009
2023-01-31$730,0009
2023-02-28$734,50010
2023-03-31$754,5008
2023-04-30$772,5006
2023-05-31$757,5006
2023-06-30$757,5006
2023-07-31$775,0005
2023-08-31$762,5008
2023-09-30$810,00011
2023-10-31$837,50010
2023-11-30$745,00016
2023-12-31$750,00015
2024-01-31$745,00016
2024-02-29$740,00015
2024-03-31$725,00016
2024-04-30$710,00015
2024-05-31$710,00014
2024-06-30$710,00015
2024-07-31$730,00016
2024-08-31$710,00013
2024-09-30$700,00010
2024-10-31$700,00011
2024-11-30$752,4956
2024-12-31$752,4956
2025-01-31$755,0005
2025-02-28$790,0007
2025-03-31$812,0007
2025-04-30$812,0007
2025-05-31$812,0007
2025-06-30$937,5008
2025-07-31$1,020,0007
2025-08-31$1,020,0009
2025-09-30$937,50010
2025-10-31$1,060,00012
2025-11-30$1,060,00012
2025-12-31$1,020,00013
2026-01-31$1,020,00013
2026-02-28$1,020,00011
2026-03-31$1,015,00010
2026-04-30$1,015,00010
2026-05-31$1,015,00010
2026-06-30$935,0008

Median weekly house rent

same rolling 12-month window
$360$552$743$935202120222023202420252026
View data table
MonthValueSample
2021-07-31$400/wk11
2021-08-31$430/wk9
2021-09-30$415/wk8
2021-10-31$415/wk8
2021-11-30$415/wk6
2021-12-31$413/wk4
2022-01-31$430/wk7
2022-02-28$430/wk7
2022-03-31$440/wk8
2022-04-30$455/wk10
2022-05-31$455/wk10
2022-06-30$460/wk9
2022-07-31$505/wk8
2022-08-31$550/wk7
2022-09-30$550/wk9
2022-10-31$555/wk8
2022-11-30$550/wk9
2022-12-31$550/wk9
2023-01-31$550/wk11
2023-02-28$550/wk11
2023-03-31$550/wk9
2023-04-30$525/wk10
2023-05-31$475/wk8
2023-06-30$490/wk9
2023-07-31$495/wk8
2023-08-31$495/wk8
2023-09-30$495/wk8
2023-10-31$500/wk9
2023-11-30$500/wk9
2023-12-31$533/wk8
2024-01-31$575/wk9
2024-02-29$575/wk7
2024-03-31$578/wk6
2024-04-30$575/wk7
2024-05-31$535/wk6
2024-06-30$540/wk6
2024-07-31$540/wk6
2024-08-31$580/wk7
2024-09-30$585/wk8
2024-10-31$595/wk8
2024-11-30$595/wk8
2024-12-31$595/wk8
2025-01-31$580/wk7
2025-02-28$610/wk7
2025-03-31$610/wk7
2025-04-30$610/wk7
2025-05-31$640/wk5
2025-06-30$640/wk5
2025-07-31$640/wk5
2025-08-31$750/wk3
2025-09-30$895/wk1
2025-10-31$895/wk1
2025-11-30$710/wk3
2025-12-31$755/wk4
2026-01-31$800/wk5
2026-02-28$795/wk5
2026-03-31$795/wk5
2026-04-30$753/wk6
2026-05-31$795/wk7
2026-06-30$753/wk8

By bedroom count median sale price, weekly rent, implied gross yield

2 bed3 bed4 bed5+ bed
Median price$755k$940k$1.15m$935k
Median rent$560/wk$680/wk$798/wk$970/wk
Implied yield3.9%3.8%3.6%5.4%

Demographics

Population 487 (metro 2,526,238)Income $1,445/wk (21.8% below metro)Average age 49Household size 2.5
Age groups
Under 15 16.6%15–64 63.8%65+ 22.1%
Households
Family 76%Shared 3%Single 22%
Ownership
Owned 77.1%Rented 21.4%Other 1.5%
55% of owners have a mortgage

Room rentals renting out a room

Average room rent
Demand
people looking per room listed

Saved houses in Godwin Beach 0 favourited · links open the listing

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