A built-out Caboolture-line suburb with a station, Strathpine's regional mall next door and below-average crime — solid tenant demand at a $970k median. Five-year price CAGR of 14.9% and rent CAGR 8.8% show a proven, deep market (136 sales/yr).
Yield sits ~3.5% (28% rented, 2:1 room demand is only moderate depth) — top-up territory at LRBA rates — and the predominantly 1970s–90s stock carries repairs the fund can't borrow to cover.
The North Pine River edge: Feb 2022 submerged low-lying homes and cut the rail line (disaster assistance declared). Buy the wrong street and flood insurance becomes a permanent, rising draw on fund liquidity.
A dependable corridor hold for a growth-plus-modest-income SMSF, gated hard on two conditions — dry ground (street-level Flood Check) and post-2000 stock to keep repairs off the fund. On those gates it's one of the stronger picks in this group.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ✓ Good | 14.9% compound over 5 yrs, 17.2% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ✗ Bad | 3.5% gross — heavy negative cash flow inside the fund — the growth has to justify it. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ◐ Mixed | North Pine River forms the northern edge; low-lying homes were submerged and the rail line was cut in Feb 2022 (disaster assistance declared for Bray Park), but the bulk of the suburb sits on higher ground — street-level Flood Check mandatory. MBRC flood mapping; Feb-2022 event (QLD Parliament Pine Rivers speech; Albany Creek News) |
| Crime | ✓ Good | Break-ins 299/100k (−69%), MV theft 686 (−41%), violent 2,293 (−33%) — all well below the QLD benchmarks, meaning lower turnover and a lighter landlord-insurance load. OpenStats 2022–24 (QPS/ABS) |
| Infrastructure | ✓ Good | Bray Park station on the Caboolture line, walking distance to Strathpine Centre (Big W/Target/Woolworths) and the Brendale employment estate; Redcliffe/TPCH hospitals within reach. Translink; Wikipedia 'Strathpine Centre' |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ✓ Good | 71% owned / 28% rented, 78% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand). ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ✓ Good | Built-out established rail-corridor suburb — infill only, no greenfield frontier; land scarcity supports the established-house growth an SMSF long hold relies on. MBRC supply mapping; supply factpack |
| Distance to rail | ✓ Good | Bray Park station in-suburb (Caboolture line) — frequent electric services to Brisbane, one stop from the Petrie junction. Translink network |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ◐ Mixed | Predominantly 1970s–90s brick-and-timber stock with scattered infill — mixed-era upkeep the LRBA can't borrow to fund; inspect each house's era. editorial — stock-age judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $490,000 | 181 |
| 2021-08-31 | $505,000 | 184 |
| 2021-09-30 | $515,250 | 180 |
| 2021-10-31 | $530,000 | 182 |
| 2021-11-30 | $551,150 | 188 |
| 2021-12-31 | $570,000 | 192 |
| 2022-01-31 | $580,000 | 191 |
| 2022-02-28 | $593,750 | 184 |
| 2022-03-31 | $620,000 | 178 |
| 2022-04-30 | $637,875 | 182 |
| 2022-05-31 | $650,000 | 181 |
| 2022-06-30 | $662,750 | 176 |
| 2022-07-31 | $670,000 | 168 |
| 2022-08-31 | $675,000 | 164 |
| 2022-09-30 | $675,000 | 174 |
| 2022-10-31 | $680,000 | 178 |
| 2022-11-30 | $680,000 | 166 |
| 2022-12-31 | $677,500 | 168 |
| 2023-01-31 | $672,500 | 174 |
| 2023-02-28 | $670,000 | 178 |
| 2023-03-31 | $659,000 | 178 |
| 2023-04-30 | $655,000 | 178 |
| 2023-05-31 | $655,000 | 182 |
| 2023-06-30 | $655,500 | 172 |
| 2023-07-31 | $655,500 | 180 |
| 2023-08-31 | $655,500 | 180 |
| 2023-09-30 | $660,000 | 172 |
| 2023-10-31 | $663,500 | 170 |
| 2023-11-30 | $667,500 | 170 |
| 2023-12-31 | $671,000 | 165 |
| 2024-01-31 | $680,000 | 159 |
| 2024-02-29 | $690,250 | 156 |
| 2024-03-31 | $700,000 | 160 |
| 2024-04-30 | $702,000 | 151 |
| 2024-05-31 | $710,500 | 143 |
| 2024-06-30 | $728,500 | 152 |
| 2024-07-31 | $746,000 | 151 |
| 2024-08-31 | $751,000 | 160 |
| 2024-09-30 | $765,000 | 167 |
| 2024-10-31 | $770,000 | 165 |
| 2024-11-30 | $780,000 | 172 |
| 2024-12-31 | $785,500 | 174 |
| 2025-01-31 | $790,000 | 167 |
| 2025-02-28 | $800,000 | 172 |
| 2025-03-31 | $808,750 | 160 |
| 2025-04-30 | $820,000 | 169 |
| 2025-05-31 | $820,000 | 178 |
| 2025-06-30 | $827,500 | 178 |
| 2025-07-31 | $830,000 | 175 |
| 2025-08-31 | $840,000 | 168 |
| 2025-09-30 | $850,000 | 167 |
| 2025-10-31 | $855,850 | 164 |
| 2025-11-30 | $870,100 | 156 |
| 2025-12-31 | $872,600 | 152 |
| 2026-01-31 | $882,500 | 160 |
| 2026-02-28 | $910,000 | 156 |
| 2026-03-31 | $924,756 | 162 |
| 2026-04-30 | $932,000 | 153 |
| 2026-05-31 | $950,000 | 143 |
| 2026-06-30 | $970,000 | 136 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $430/wk | 200 |
| 2021-08-31 | $430/wk | 203 |
| 2021-09-30 | $435/wk | 207 |
| 2021-10-31 | $440/wk | 201 |
| 2021-11-30 | $445/wk | 208 |
| 2021-12-31 | $450/wk | 218 |
| 2022-01-31 | $450/wk | 213 |
| 2022-02-28 | $460/wk | 211 |
| 2022-03-31 | $460/wk | 213 |
| 2022-04-30 | $470/wk | 218 |
| 2022-05-31 | $475/wk | 211 |
| 2022-06-30 | $480/wk | 216 |
| 2022-07-31 | $490/wk | 217 |
| 2022-08-31 | $490/wk | 216 |
| 2022-09-30 | $495/wk | 216 |
| 2022-10-31 | $500/wk | 227 |
| 2022-11-30 | $500/wk | 225 |
| 2022-12-31 | $500/wk | 215 |
| 2023-01-31 | $510/wk | 209 |
| 2023-02-28 | $520/wk | 206 |
| 2023-03-31 | $525/wk | 215 |
| 2023-04-30 | $530/wk | 208 |
| 2023-05-31 | $530/wk | 203 |
| 2023-06-30 | $550/wk | 206 |
| 2023-07-31 | $550/wk | 209 |
| 2023-08-31 | $550/wk | 205 |
| 2023-09-30 | $550/wk | 203 |
| 2023-10-31 | $550/wk | 192 |
| 2023-11-30 | $560/wk | 194 |
| 2023-12-31 | $560/wk | 192 |
| 2024-01-31 | $565/wk | 187 |
| 2024-02-29 | $570/wk | 191 |
| 2024-03-31 | $575/wk | 187 |
| 2024-04-30 | $580/wk | 185 |
| 2024-05-31 | $590/wk | 190 |
| 2024-06-30 | $590/wk | 187 |
| 2024-07-31 | $595/wk | 185 |
| 2024-08-31 | $595/wk | 183 |
| 2024-09-30 | $600/wk | 187 |
| 2024-10-31 | $600/wk | 185 |
| 2024-11-30 | $600/wk | 182 |
| 2024-12-31 | $600/wk | 176 |
| 2025-01-31 | $600/wk | 182 |
| 2025-02-28 | $600/wk | 190 |
| 2025-03-31 | $600/wk | 187 |
| 2025-04-30 | $620/wk | 188 |
| 2025-05-31 | $630/wk | 195 |
| 2025-06-30 | $628/wk | 192 |
| 2025-07-31 | $630/wk | 193 |
| 2025-08-31 | $640/wk | 182 |
| 2025-09-30 | $635/wk | 182 |
| 2025-10-31 | $640/wk | 181 |
| 2025-11-30 | $650/wk | 181 |
| 2025-12-31 | $650/wk | 185 |
| 2026-01-31 | $650/wk | 184 |
| 2026-02-28 | $650/wk | 179 |
| 2026-03-31 | $650/wk | 171 |
| 2026-04-30 | $650/wk | 174 |
| 2026-05-31 | $650/wk | 166 |
| 2026-06-30 | $650/wk | 163 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $1m | $925k | $1.03m | $1.03m |
| Median rent | $550/wk | $610/wk | $680/wk | $770/wk |
| Implied yield | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% |
| School | Level | Grades | Sector | Students |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genesis Christian College | Primary | Prep-12 | Independent | 1,574 |
| Holy Spirit School | Primary | Prep-6 | Catholic | 492 |
| Bray Park State School | Primary | Prep-6 | Government | 472 |
| Genesis Christian College | Secondary | Prep-12 | Independent | 1,574 |
| Bray Park State High School | Secondary | 7-12 | Government | 1,543 |
| Childcare centre | Rating | Reviews | Day rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodstart Early Learning Bray Park - Elmwood Drive | Meeting NQS | 5 ★ (25) | $131 |
| Goodstart Early Learning Bray Park - Kensington Way | Meeting NQS | 4.6 ★ (21) | $144 |
| Little Genesis Early Learning Centre | Meeting NQS | — | $141 |
| Sparrow Early Learning Bray Park | Meeting NQS | 4.8 ★ (36) | $142 |
| Address | Sold price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dakota Court, Bray Park | $1,260,000 |
| 7 Kym Court, Bray Park | $1,210,000 |
| 16 Fortress Court, Bray Park | $1,200,000 |
| 75 Baker Street, Bray Park | $1,150,000 |
| 31 Panorama Street, Bray Park | $1,080,000 |
| 25 Plateau Parade, Bray Park | $1,070,000 |
| 12 Federation Drive, Bray Park | $1,000,000 |
| 3 Eliza Street, Bray Park | $990,000 |
| 38 Dundee Street, Bray Park | $990,000 |
| 2 Squire Court, Bray Park | $970,000 |
| 5 Ulster Court, Bray Park | $921,000 |
| LGA | Subregion | Suburb | Address | Fit ▼ | Sub. Score | B/B/C | Land | Land $/m² | vs Sub. land | Land Idx | Price | Estimate | vs Est. | vs Bed Med. | Est. Yield | Suburb Yield | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| City of Moreton Bay | Strathpine, Petrie and Warner | Bray Park | 19 Judith Street | 8.3 | 6.3 | 4/2/2 | 607 m² | $1606 | ▲ 0% dearer | 6.6 | $975k | $1.02m | ▼ 4.6% below | 95% | 3.9% | 3.6% | clear |
| City of Moreton Bay | Strathpine, Petrie and Warner | Bray Park | 11 Squire Court | 4.4 | 6.3 | 4/2/2 | 715 m² | $1364 | ▼ 15% cheaper | 7.2 | $975k | $992k | ▼ 1.7% below | 95% | 3.8% | 3.6% | ⚠ Flood |
| City of Moreton Bay | Strathpine, Petrie and Warner | Bray Park | 31 Kentwood Drive | — | 6.3 | 4/2/3 | 633 m² | — | — | — | — | $1.07m | — | — | — | — | clear |