The strongest income trajectory in the corridor: rents up 13% in a year to $678/wk (4-bed $750/wk), prices up 20.3%, zero new land supply, and The Mill's tenant catchment one suburb away.
1960s–80s stock: repairs land on fund cash flow, and LRBA borrowing can't fund improvements — a renovator is structurally wrong inside an SMSF.
The North Pine floodplain. Flood insurance is a rising, uncontrollable tax on fund liquidity — and the wrong street erases the whole thesis (Feb-2022 proved which streets those are).
The high-conviction pick IF the specific house clears two bars: dry ground and structurally sound recent construction. Scarcity + rent momentum + precinct spillover is the best growth-plus-income combination on the list. Only 1 favourite so far — worth hunting for more.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ✓ Good | 15.8% compound over 5 yrs, 20.3% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ◐ Mixed | 3.5% gross (stated) — expect contribution top-ups at LRBA rates; losses stay trapped in the fund at 15%. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ✗ Bad | North Pine floodplain, badly hit Feb 2022 — the trade-off behind prices that lag Petrie. Street-level check mandatory. Feb-2022 event |
| Crime | ◐ Mixed | Similar profile to Petrie/Bray Park — mid-pack for the corridor. QPS crime map |
| Infrastructure | ◐ Mixed | Station and small retail; borrows Petrie's precinct upside next door. editorial |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ◐ Mixed | 58% owned / 41% rented, 65% family households — balanced: resale depth plus a proven tenant pool. ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ✓ Good | Fully built-out — scarcity is part of why its growth currently leads the corridor. editorial |
| Distance to rail | ✓ Good | Lawnton station on the Caboolture line. Translink network |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ◐ Mixed | Predominantly 1960s–80s homes — budget for upkeep. editorial — stock-age judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $471,250 | 104 |
| 2021-08-31 | $489,000 | 102 |
| 2021-09-30 | $507,500 | 110 |
| 2021-10-31 | $516,250 | 108 |
| 2021-11-30 | $523,750 | 102 |
| 2021-12-31 | $535,000 | 107 |
| 2022-01-31 | $565,000 | 101 |
| 2022-02-28 | $578,500 | 100 |
| 2022-03-31 | $610,000 | 103 |
| 2022-04-30 | $618,000 | 104 |
| 2022-05-31 | $621,000 | 99 |
| 2022-06-30 | $628,000 | 93 |
| 2022-07-31 | $649,875 | 90 |
| 2022-08-31 | $651,750 | 90 |
| 2022-09-30 | $655,000 | 81 |
| 2022-10-31 | $672,500 | 83 |
| 2022-11-30 | $672,187 | 81 |
| 2022-12-31 | $666,094 | 76 |
| 2023-01-31 | $655,000 | 73 |
| 2023-02-28 | $653,750 | 74 |
| 2023-03-31 | $651,250 | 72 |
| 2023-04-30 | $652,000 | 71 |
| 2023-05-31 | $651,750 | 70 |
| 2023-06-30 | $651,250 | 68 |
| 2023-07-31 | $660,000 | 65 |
| 2023-08-31 | $668,000 | 61 |
| 2023-09-30 | $679,500 | 66 |
| 2023-10-31 | $679,000 | 65 |
| 2023-11-30 | $685,682 | 68 |
| 2023-12-31 | $699,000 | 75 |
| 2024-01-31 | $700,000 | 75 |
| 2024-02-29 | $704,000 | 74 |
| 2024-03-31 | $723,500 | 73 |
| 2024-04-30 | $732,500 | 77 |
| 2024-05-31 | $740,000 | 77 |
| 2024-06-30 | $750,000 | 83 |
| 2024-07-31 | $753,250 | 88 |
| 2024-08-31 | $760,000 | 91 |
| 2024-09-30 | $775,000 | 88 |
| 2024-10-31 | $783,500 | 85 |
| 2024-11-30 | $790,000 | 81 |
| 2024-12-31 | $789,500 | 76 |
| 2025-01-31 | $789,500 | 78 |
| 2025-02-28 | $792,250 | 76 |
| 2025-03-31 | $797,500 | 73 |
| 2025-04-30 | $800,000 | 71 |
| 2025-05-31 | $800,500 | 77 |
| 2025-06-30 | $806,500 | 78 |
| 2025-07-31 | $818,750 | 82 |
| 2025-08-31 | $840,100 | 87 |
| 2025-09-30 | $860,000 | 91 |
| 2025-10-31 | $903,500 | 100 |
| 2025-11-30 | $915,000 | 104 |
| 2025-12-31 | $920,000 | 107 |
| 2026-01-31 | $930,000 | 110 |
| 2026-02-28 | $950,000 | 118 |
| 2026-03-31 | $955,000 | 118 |
| 2026-04-30 | $955,000 | 112 |
| 2026-05-31 | $960,000 | 110 |
| 2026-06-30 | $970,000 | 105 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $385/wk | 74 |
| 2021-08-31 | $400/wk | 72 |
| 2021-09-30 | $400/wk | 74 |
| 2021-10-31 | $400/wk | 74 |
| 2021-11-30 | $410/wk | 71 |
| 2021-12-31 | $410/wk | 74 |
| 2022-01-31 | $410/wk | 83 |
| 2022-02-28 | $420/wk | 79 |
| 2022-03-31 | $435/wk | 86 |
| 2022-04-30 | $440/wk | 86 |
| 2022-05-31 | $450/wk | 87 |
| 2022-06-30 | $450/wk | 91 |
| 2022-07-31 | $460/wk | 93 |
| 2022-08-31 | $460/wk | 96 |
| 2022-09-30 | $470/wk | 95 |
| 2022-10-31 | $478/wk | 96 |
| 2022-11-30 | $480/wk | 102 |
| 2022-12-31 | $480/wk | 100 |
| 2023-01-31 | $480/wk | 96 |
| 2023-02-28 | $490/wk | 95 |
| 2023-03-31 | $490/wk | 94 |
| 2023-04-30 | $500/wk | 91 |
| 2023-05-31 | $500/wk | 91 |
| 2023-06-30 | $520/wk | 90 |
| 2023-07-31 | $520/wk | 90 |
| 2023-08-31 | $520/wk | 92 |
| 2023-09-30 | $525/wk | 97 |
| 2023-10-31 | $525/wk | 99 |
| 2023-11-30 | $530/wk | 99 |
| 2023-12-31 | $548/wk | 102 |
| 2024-01-31 | $550/wk | 105 |
| 2024-02-29 | $560/wk | 107 |
| 2024-03-31 | $565/wk | 111 |
| 2024-04-30 | $570/wk | 123 |
| 2024-05-31 | $570/wk | 134 |
| 2024-06-30 | $580/wk | 128 |
| 2024-07-31 | $580/wk | 127 |
| 2024-08-31 | $580/wk | 125 |
| 2024-09-30 | $580/wk | 122 |
| 2024-10-31 | $580/wk | 129 |
| 2024-11-30 | $588/wk | 124 |
| 2024-12-31 | $590/wk | 125 |
| 2025-01-31 | $585/wk | 119 |
| 2025-02-28 | $590/wk | 109 |
| 2025-03-31 | $590/wk | 108 |
| 2025-04-30 | $590/wk | 108 |
| 2025-05-31 | $600/wk | 104 |
| 2025-06-30 | $600/wk | 102 |
| 2025-07-31 | $600/wk | 107 |
| 2025-08-31 | $600/wk | 102 |
| 2025-09-30 | $620/wk | 108 |
| 2025-10-31 | $620/wk | 112 |
| 2025-11-30 | $635/wk | 116 |
| 2025-12-31 | $640/wk | 117 |
| 2026-01-31 | $648/wk | 114 |
| 2026-02-28 | $650/wk | 116 |
| 2026-03-31 | $650/wk | 123 |
| 2026-04-30 | $665/wk | 117 |
| 2026-05-31 | $675/wk | 117 |
| 2026-06-30 | $678/wk | 122 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $771k | $948k | $975k | $1.07m |
| Median rent | $500/wk | $628/wk | $750/wk | $875/wk |
| Implied yield | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| School | Level | Grades | Sector | Students |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawnton State School | Primary | Prep-6 | Government | 630 |
| Pine Rivers Special School | Primary | Prep-12 | Government | 286 |
| Pine Rivers Special School | Secondary | Prep-12 | Government | 286 |
| YOS Lawnton | Secondary | 10-12 | Independent | 57 |
| Childcare centre | Rating | Reviews | Day rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawnton Kindergarten & Preschool | Exceeding NQS | 5 ★ (4) | POA |
| Mother Duck Child Care and Preschool Lawnton | Exceeding NQS | 4.8 ★ (80) | POA |
| Treehouse Early Learning Centre Lawnton | Meeting NQS | 4.7 ★ (65) | POA |
| Address | Sold price |
|---|---|
| 169 Bray Road, Lawnton | $1,100,000 |
| 15 Colleen Street, Lawnton | $1,075,000 |
| 16 Colleen Street, Lawnton | $1,037,500 |
| 14 Lambourne Court, Lawnton | $1,030,000 |
| 2 Mitchell Street, Lawnton | $1,016,000 |
| 235 Bray Road, Lawnton | $1,000,000 |
| 1 Rose Street, Lawnton | $985,000 |
| 53 Colonial Drive, Lawnton | $976,000 |
| 194 Francis Road, Lawnton | $975,000 |
| 9 Slack Court, Lawnton | $905,000 |
| 2/5 Slater Avenue, Lawnton | $856,000 |
| 6/7 Neilson Street, Lawnton | $775,000 |
| Address | B/B/C | Land | Price | vs Bed Med. | Suburb yield | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Lambourne Court | 4/2/2 | 712 m² | $929k | 95% | 4.2% | ⚠ Flood |
| 6 Cotton Street | 3/1/1 | 612 m² | — | — | — | clear |