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King Scrub

QLD 4521City of Moreton Bay → Dayboro and North Pine hinterlandprofiled 2026-07-18
Median price
$2,075,000
3.5%
Median rent
Gross yield
median rent ×52 ÷ median price
Sales 12m
2
— rental listings
Saved favourites
0
in your collection
Room demand
people per room listed

Scores 0–10 against the SMSF rubric · edit data/scores.json

Overall
5.2
weighted 20% past · 35% present · 45% future
Past
5.4
Price 5-yr CAGR n/a (5.0 neutral) · rent CAGR n/a (5.0) · very thin 2-sale market, no flat/negative flags (7.0) · flood/isolation-punctuated rural arc (5.5).
Present
4.2
Yield n/a (5.0 neutral) · tenant pool near-nil, 8.7% rented (3.5) · conditions 4.0 — crime & flood mixed, infrastructure & maintenance bad · flat momentum, -3.5% (4.0).
Future
5.8
Supply — rural scarcity (8.5) · demand thin, remote one-road (3.5) · yield trajectory flat, no data (4.5) · climate — creek flash-flood (5.5).

The good, the bad, the ugly narrative verdict — evidence in the lens below · edit data/verdicts.json

The good

An affluent large-acreage enclave (household income ~57% above metro, 96% families) with genuine rural-zoned scarcity and no supply pipeline.

The bad

A $2.075M median on two sales a year and an 8.7%-rented base means no reliable valuation, no tenant pool, and a deeply negative yield the fund absorbs at 15%.

The ugly

One-road rural access ~30 min from rail and hospital, on bushfire-interface terrain the LRBA cannot fund to mitigate — structurally illiquid both to lease and to sell.

Net read from the data

A prestige lifestyle locality, not an investment-grade one; the price point alone breaks a fund sized to an $850k-$1M purchase. Pass.

Investment lens 2 good · 2 mixed · 4 bad · computed from data + sourced research — each row cites its source

DimensionVerdictWhy
Capital growth Bad—% compound over 0 yrs, -3.5% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below.
trend data (this DB)
Flood risk MixedNo suburb-level event confirmed; shares the North Pine tributary flash-flood and one-road-isolation exposure of the hinterland — verify at address level via council Flood Check.
BOM Pine/Caboolture brochure; MBRC Flood Check
Crime MixedNo published suburb-level rate — a ~363-person locality under the very-low-crime Dayboro/Petrie divisions; directionally low but unverified.
OpenStats 2022-24 (division-level)
Infrastructure BadNo township, rail or hospital; ~30 min to Petrie/Dayboro services — remote large-lot acreage.
Transport factpack (est.)
Owner-occupier appeal Good91% owned / 9% rented, 96% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand).
ABS via suburb page
New supply risk GoodRural-zoned with no project-level pipeline — structural scarcity under the 75%-rural policy.
Supply factpack; MBRC Planning Scheme
Distance to rail BadNo station; ~30 min to Petrie heavy rail — no commuter catchment.
Translink network; transport factpack
Housing stock & upkeep BadLarge-lot acreage (septic, tanks, bushfire clearing, fencing) — high land-based upkeep outside LRBA improvement funding.
editorial — acreage judgment

5-year trend rolling 12-month medians, exact chart data

By bedroom count median sale price, weekly rent, implied gross yield

2 bed3 bed4 bed5+ bed
Median price$2.08m
Median rent
Implied yield

Demographics

Population 363 (metro 2,526,238)Income $2,895/wk (56.6% above metro)Average age 40Household size 3.3
Age groups
Under 15 23.6%15–64 66.3%65+ 17.2%
Households
Family 96%Single 4%
Ownership
Owned 91.3%Rented 8.7%
59% of owners have a mortgage

Room rentals renting out a room

Average room rent
Demand
people looking per room listed

Recently sold comps from the suburb page · 2026-07-18

AddressSold price
7 Royston Street, King Scrub$1,770,000

Saved houses in King Scrub 0 favourited · links open the listing

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