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Samsonvale

QLD 4520City of Moreton Bay → Dayboro and North Pine hinterlandprofiled 2026-07-18
Median price
$1,840,000
8.2%
Median rent
$1,000/wk
Gross yield
2.8%
median rent ×52 ÷ median price
Sales 12m
8
3 rental listings
Saved favourites
0
in your collection
Room demand
people per room listed

Scores 0–10 against the SMSF rubric · edit data/scores.json

Overall
4.9
weighted 20% past · 35% present · 45% future
Past
4.8
Price 7.7%/yr over 5 yrs (5.0) · rent 2.7%/yr (3.5) · thin 8-sale market, one negative stretch (4.5) · catchment-buffered scarcity arc (6.0).
Present
3.4
Yield ~2.8% (2.5) · thin tenant pool, 5.9% rented (2.5) · conditions 4.75 — crime/flood/infrastructure mixed, maintenance bad · flat momentum, +8.2% price, no rent read (4.0).
Future
6.1
Supply — rural + water-catchment double lock (8.5) · demand — closest to Petrie/The Mill ~18-22 min (4.5) · yield trajectory flat (4.5) · climate — lake/river-flat inundation (5.5).

The good, the bad, the ugly narrative verdict — evidence in the lens below · edit data/verdicts.json

The good

The closest hinterland suburb to metro services (~18-22 min to Petrie/Strathpine and The Mill precinct), the most affluent (income ~76% above metro), with double-locked scarcity from rural zoning plus the Lake Samsonvale drinking-water catchment buffer.

The bad

A ~2.8% yield on a $1.84M median is deep negative cash flow, only ~5.9% is rented, and eight sales a year makes both valuation and exit thin — a big fund outlay for little income.

The ugly

Executive acreage the LRBA cannot improve (septic/bore/dams/fencing) wrapping a dam pool with river-flat inundation and catchment constraints — high land upkeep plus flood-insurance drag on fund liquidity.

Net read from the data

The most connected of the hinterland and the strongest scarcity case, but the price point and near-zero yield suit a wealthy lifestyle buyer, not an LRBA-geared SMSF. Only as a very-long-hold land-scarcity bet on a dry, low-maintenance parcel.

Investment lens 2 good · 3 mixed · 4 bad · computed from data + sourced research — each row cites its source

DimensionVerdictWhy
Capital growth Bad7.7% compound over 5 yrs, 8.2% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below.
trend data (this DB)
Rental yield Bad2.8% gross — heavy negative cash flow inside the fund — the growth has to justify it.
PropTrack via suburb page
Flood risk MixedWraps Lake Samsonvale / North Pine Dam on the North Pine River; lakeside and river-flat parcels carry inundation and drinking-water-catchment-buffer constraints, and dam releases govern downstream flooding — an address-level check is needed.
BOM Pine/Caboolture brochure; MBRC Flood Check
Crime MixedNo published suburb-level rate — a ~674-person locality under the very-low Dayboro/Petrie divisions; directionally low but unverified.
OpenStats 2022-24 (division-level)
Infrastructure MixedNo in-suburb township or rail, but the closest of the group to metro services — ~18-22 min to Petrie/Strathpine (UniSC, Strathpine Centre) — plus Lake Samsonvale recreation.
Transport factpack (est.)
Owner-occupier appeal Good93% owned / 6% rented, 94% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand).
ABS via suburb page
New supply risk GoodRural-zoned and further constrained by the Lake Samsonvale drinking-water catchment buffer — among the most supply-locked localities in the LGA.
Supply factpack; SEQ Water catchment
Distance to rail BadNo station; ~18-22 min to Petrie/Strathpine rail — closest of the group but still no commuter catchment.
Translink network; transport factpack
Housing stock & upkeep BadLarge executive-acreage stock (septic, bore/tank, dams, fencing) — high land upkeep the fund cannot borrow to improve.
editorial — acreage judgment

5-year trend rolling 12-month medians, exact chart data

Median house sale price

each point = median of the 12 months ending then
$1.21m$1.51m$1.80m$2.09m202120222023202420252026
View data table
MonthValueSample
2021-07-31$1,275,0007
2021-08-31$1,349,0008
2021-09-30$1,275,0009
2021-10-31$1,349,00010
2021-11-30$1,349,00010
2021-12-31$1,275,0009
2022-01-31$1,349,0008
2022-02-28$1,454,0006
2022-03-31$1,423,0007
2022-04-30$1,311,5006
2022-05-31$1,426,5008
2022-06-30$1,465,0007
2022-07-31$1,485,0009
2022-08-31$1,522,5008
2022-09-30$1,580,0007
2022-10-31$1,522,5006
2022-11-30$1,465,0007
2022-12-31$1,482,5008
2023-01-31$1,457,50010
2023-02-28$1,457,50010
2023-03-31$1,457,50010
2023-04-30$1,457,50012
2023-05-31$1,475,00010
2023-06-30$1,450,0009
2023-07-31$1,450,0007
2023-08-31$1,450,0007
2023-09-30$1,450,0008
2023-10-31$1,450,0009
2023-11-30$1,440,00011
2023-12-31$1,395,00010
2024-01-31$1,337,5008
2024-02-29$1,350,0009
2024-03-31$1,337,5008
2024-04-30$1,337,5006
2024-05-31$1,350,0007
2024-06-30$1,350,0007
2024-07-31$1,350,0007
2024-08-31$1,478,5009
2024-09-30$1,520,0009
2024-10-31$1,499,25010
2024-11-30$1,700,0007
2024-12-31$1,700,0007
2025-01-31$1,700,0007
2025-02-28$1,637,5008
2025-03-31$1,637,5008
2025-04-30$1,637,5008
2025-05-31$1,700,0007
2025-06-30$1,700,0007
2025-07-31$1,700,0007
2025-08-31$1,637,5008
2025-09-30$1,700,0007
2025-10-31$2,028,7506
2025-11-30$1,990,0009
2025-12-31$1,990,0009
2026-01-31$1,990,0009
2026-02-28$1,990,0007
2026-03-31$1,990,0007
2026-04-30$1,840,0008
2026-05-31$1,840,0008
2026-06-30$1,840,0008

Median weekly house rent

same rolling 12-month window
$703$1001$1299$1597202120222023202420252026
View data table
MonthValueSample
2021-07-31$900/wk3
2021-08-31$900/wk3
2021-09-30$900/wk3
2021-10-31$900/wk3
2021-11-30$900/wk3
2021-12-31$900/wk3
2022-01-31$900/wk3
2022-02-28$900/wk3
2022-03-31$900/wk3
2022-04-30$790/wk3
2022-05-31$790/wk3
2022-06-30$850/wk3
2022-07-31$850/wk3
2022-08-31$820/wk2
2022-09-30$820/wk2
2022-10-31$820/wk2
2022-11-30$820/wk2
2022-12-31$820/wk2
2023-01-31$850/wk3
2023-02-28$850/wk3
2023-03-31$850/wk3
2023-04-30$820/wk4
2023-05-31$820/wk4
2023-06-30$850/wk3
2023-07-31$883/wk2
2023-08-31$883/wk2
2023-09-30$883/wk2
2023-10-31$883/wk2
2023-11-30$883/wk2
2023-12-31$883/wk2
2024-01-31$883/wk2
2024-02-29$765/wk1
2024-03-31$765/wk1
2024-04-30$765/wk1
2024-05-31$765/wk1
2024-06-30$765/wk1
2024-07-31$765/wk1
2025-08-31$1,535/wk1
2025-09-30$1,535/wk1
2025-10-31$1,535/wk1
2025-11-30$1,150/wk2
2025-12-31$1,150/wk2
2026-01-31$1,000/wk3
2026-02-28$1,000/wk3
2026-03-31$1,000/wk3
2026-04-30$1,000/wk3
2026-05-31$1,000/wk3
2026-06-30$1,000/wk3

By bedroom count median sale price, weekly rent, implied gross yield

2 bed3 bed4 bed5+ bed
Median price$1.53m$2.59m$2m
Median rent$765/wk$1,000/wk
Implied yield1.5%2.6%

Demographics

Population 674 (metro 2,526,238)Income $3,250/wk (75.8% above metro)Average age 40Household size 3.4
Age groups
Under 15 22.9%15–64 65.7%65+ 17.1%
Households
Family 94%Single 6%
Ownership
Owned 92.5%Rented 5.8%Other 1.6%
74% of owners have a mortgage

Room rentals renting out a room

Average room rent
Demand
people looking per room listed

Recently sold comps from the suburb page · 2026-07-18

AddressSold price
224 Whiteside Road, Samsonvale$1,700,000

Saved houses in Samsonvale 0 favourited · links open the listing

No favourites saved in this suburb.