The subregion's top scorer on the past: 16.0% five-year price CAGR and 13.8% rent CAGR in a scarce Rural Residential pocket on the Samford–Dayboro corridor, with 92% owner-occupancy for resale depth.
A $2.675M median at ~2.5% yield with only 7% of homes rented — the cash-flow drag is severe and the tenant pool shallow, so top-ups run at LRBA rates with losses trapped at 15%.
The headline momentum (rent +41.7%) rests on a four-sale, four-listing market — thin-market noise, not a durable income signal — and no rail will ever serve it.
The prettiest price CAGR in the belt, but on a wafer-thin market and a punishing yield. Suits only a cash-rich fund treating it as a multi-decade capital hold on a dry, low-maintenance lot; the income case does not exist.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ✓ Good | 16.0% compound over 5 yrs, 18.9% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ✗ Bad | 2.5% gross — heavy negative cash flow inside the fund — the growth has to justify it. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ◐ Mixed | No suburb-level flood record; on the Mount Samson Rd corridor draining to the North Pine catchment. Confirm creek/overland-flow on MBRC Flood Check at the address. MBRC flood mapping (address-level) |
| Crime | ✓ Good | No discrete rate data; rural-acreage locality on the Samford–Dayboro corridor in the low-crime Ferny Grove/Petrie divisions. Verify on the QPS crime map. RedSuburbs 2024 / QPS crime map (verify) |
| Infrastructure | ◐ Mixed | On the Samford↔Dayboro corridor; leans on Samford Village ~10 min and Ferny Grove ~20–25 min; no local centre, no hospital, no rail. Transport factpack 2026 |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ✓ Good | 92% owned / 7% rented, 90% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand). ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ✓ Good | Rural / Rural Residential large-lot zoning with a Lot Size Overlay; no project pipeline — structural scarcity. MBRC Planning Scheme; supply factpack |
| Distance to rail | ✗ Bad | No station; nearest rail Ferny Grove or Petrie ~20–25 min drive. Translink; transport factpack |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ◐ Mixed | Prestige acreage of mixed eras — newer architect builds alongside older homesteads — on tank/septic with long driveways and bushfire clearing the LRBA cannot fund. editorial — acreage-services judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $1,290,500 | 12 |
| 2021-08-31 | $1,336,000 | 13 |
| 2021-09-30 | $1,290,500 | 12 |
| 2021-10-31 | $1,336,000 | 11 |
| 2021-11-30 | $1,340,000 | 11 |
| 2021-12-31 | $1,448,000 | 10 |
| 2022-01-31 | $1,448,000 | 10 |
| 2022-02-28 | $1,653,000 | 8 |
| 2022-03-31 | $1,653,000 | 6 |
| 2022-04-30 | $1,750,000 | 7 |
| 2022-05-31 | $2,012,500 | 6 |
| 2022-06-30 | $1,900,000 | 7 |
| 2022-07-31 | $1,950,000 | 8 |
| 2022-08-31 | $2,000,000 | 7 |
| 2022-09-30 | $2,000,000 | 7 |
| 2022-10-31 | $2,087,500 | 8 |
| 2022-11-30 | $2,175,000 | 7 |
| 2022-12-31 | $2,175,000 | 7 |
| 2023-01-31 | $2,087,500 | 8 |
| 2023-02-28 | $2,000,000 | 9 |
| 2023-03-31 | $2,000,000 | 9 |
| 2023-04-30 | $1,900,000 | 7 |
| 2023-05-31 | $1,900,000 | 5 |
| 2023-06-30 | $1,880,000 | 6 |
| 2023-07-31 | $1,760,000 | 5 |
| 2023-08-31 | $1,760,000 | 5 |
| 2023-09-30 | $1,760,000 | 7 |
| 2023-10-31 | $1,760,000 | 7 |
| 2023-11-30 | $1,760,000 | 7 |
| 2023-12-31 | $1,600,000 | 9 |
| 2024-01-31 | $1,517,500 | 8 |
| 2024-02-29 | $1,600,000 | 7 |
| 2024-03-31 | $1,600,000 | 7 |
| 2024-04-30 | $1,740,000 | 8 |
| 2024-05-31 | $1,880,000 | 9 |
| 2024-06-30 | $1,740,000 | 8 |
| 2024-07-31 | $1,990,000 | 10 |
| 2024-08-31 | $1,990,000 | 10 |
| 2024-09-30 | $2,250,000 | 9 |
| 2024-10-31 | $2,175,000 | 8 |
| 2024-11-30 | $2,175,000 | 8 |
| 2024-12-31 | $2,275,000 | 6 |
| 2025-01-31 | $2,250,000 | 7 |
| 2025-02-28 | $2,250,000 | 7 |
| 2025-03-31 | $2,250,000 | 7 |
| 2025-04-30 | $2,250,000 | 7 |
| 2025-05-31 | $2,175,000 | 6 |
| 2025-06-30 | $2,250,000 | 5 |
| 2025-07-31 | $2,300,000 | 3 |
| 2025-08-31 | $2,300,000 | 3 |
| 2025-09-30 | $2,260,000 | 2 |
| 2025-10-31 | $2,760,000 | 3 |
| 2025-11-30 | $2,760,000 | 3 |
| 2025-12-31 | $2,760,000 | 3 |
| 2026-01-31 | $2,850,000 | 3 |
| 2026-02-28 | $2,805,000 | 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | $2,805,000 | 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | $2,675,000 | 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | $2,675,000 | 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | $2,675,000 | 4 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $675/wk | 2 |
| 2021-08-31 | $675/wk | 2 |
| 2021-09-30 | $520/wk | 3 |
| 2021-10-31 | $520/wk | 3 |
| 2021-11-30 | $520/wk | 3 |
| 2021-12-31 | $520/wk | 3 |
| 2022-01-31 | $660/wk | 4 |
| 2022-02-28 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-03-31 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-04-30 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2022-05-31 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2022-06-30 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2022-07-31 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2022-08-31 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2022-09-30 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-10-31 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-11-30 | $830/wk | 2 |
| 2022-12-31 | $830/wk | 2 |
| 2023-01-31 | $800/wk | 1 |
| 2023-02-28 | $800/wk | 1 |
| 2023-03-31 | $725/wk | 2 |
| 2023-04-30 | $650/wk | 3 |
| 2023-05-31 | $650/wk | 3 |
| 2023-06-30 | $650/wk | 3 |
| 2023-07-31 | $650/wk | 3 |
| 2023-08-31 | $650/wk | 3 |
| 2023-09-30 | $650/wk | 3 |
| 2023-10-31 | $650/wk | 3 |
| 2023-11-30 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2023-12-31 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2024-01-31 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2024-02-29 | $800/wk | 4 |
| 2024-03-31 | $950/wk | 3 |
| 2024-04-30 | $950/wk | 3 |
| 2024-05-31 | $975/wk | 2 |
| 2024-06-30 | $975/wk | 2 |
| 2024-07-31 | $950/wk | 1 |
| 2024-08-31 | $950/wk | 1 |
| 2024-09-30 | $950/wk | 1 |
| 2024-10-31 | $950/wk | 1 |
| 2024-11-30 | $950/wk | 1 |
| 2024-12-31 | $900/wk | 1 |
| 2025-01-31 | $900/wk | 1 |
| 2025-02-28 | $900/wk | 1 |
| 2025-03-31 | $900/wk | 1 |
| 2025-04-30 | $900/wk | 1 |
| 2025-05-31 | $900/wk | 1 |
| 2025-06-30 | $900/wk | 1 |
| 2025-07-31 | $1,050/wk | 2 |
| 2025-08-31 | $1,050/wk | 2 |
| 2025-09-30 | $1,050/wk | 2 |
| 2025-10-31 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2025-11-30 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2025-12-31 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2026-01-31 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2026-02-28 | $1,100/wk | 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | $1,200/wk | 3 |
| 2026-04-30 | $1,200/wk | 3 |
| 2026-05-31 | $1,200/wk | 3 |
| 2026-06-30 | $1,275/wk | 4 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | — | $1k | $2.50m | $2.51m |
| Median rent | — | $1,000/wk | $2,000/wk | $1,000/wk |
| Implied yield | — | 5200.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| School | Level | Grades | Sector | Students |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Samson State School | Primary | Prep-6 | Government | 255 |
| Childcare centre | Rating | Reviews | Day rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosie's Early Learning - Mount Samson | Exceeding NQS | 4.9 ★ (9) | $152 |
| Address | Sold price |
|---|---|
| 9 Rosemont Court, Mount Samson | $2,163,000 |