Solid five-year price CAGR (12.2%) in a scarce Rural Residential pocket adjoining Samford, with 93% owner-occupancy giving genuine resale depth.
The weakest income signal in the belt: ~1.8% yield, just 7% rented, and rents that fell ~35% off a two-listing base — you would underwrite negative cash flow with no growth cushion.
Landslip-prone roads were monitored here in Feb 2022, so the wet-season hazard is real and address-specific — and it sits on top of the acreage septic/tank/bushfire upkeep the LRBA cannot fund.
A thin, illiquid acreage market that suits an owner-occupier far better than an SMSF. Pass unless a specific dry, newer-built lot is bought purely as a multi-decade capital play the fund can fully fund.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ◐ Mixed | 12.2% compound over 5 yrs, 14.1% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ✗ Bad | 1.8% gross — heavy negative cash flow inside the fund — the growth has to justify it. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ◐ Mixed | Council monitored landslip-prone roads at Cedar Creek during Feb 2022 and the creek-flat frontage carries flash-flood exposure; no suburb-level overlay confirmed — check MBRC Flood Check at the address. Moreton Daily road-closure reports 2022; MBRC flood mapping |
| Crime | ✓ Good | No discrete rate data; rural-acreage locality in the low-crime Ferny Grove/Petrie divisions near Samford. Verify on the QPS crime map. RedSuburbs 2024 / QPS crime map (verify) |
| Infrastructure | ◐ Mixed | No local centre; leans on Samford Village retail/schools and Ferny Grove ~15–20 min; no rail, nearest hospital TPCH Chermside. Transport factpack 2026 |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ✓ Good | 94% owned / 7% rented, 92% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand). ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ✓ Good | Rural / Rural Residential zoning under the MBRC scheme and 75%-rural-preservation policy; no project pipeline — structural scarcity. MBRC Planning Scheme; supply factpack |
| Distance to rail | ✗ Bad | No station; nearest rail Ferny Grove ~15–20 min drive (Samford–Dayboro line closed 1955). Translink; transport factpack |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ◐ Mixed | Acreage stock of mixed eras on tank/septic; landslip-prone slopes add drainage/retaining upkeep the LRBA cannot fund. editorial — acreage-services judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $1,080,000 | 10 |
| 2021-08-31 | $1,080,000 | 10 |
| 2021-09-30 | $1,192,500 | 10 |
| 2021-10-31 | $1,210,000 | 11 |
| 2021-11-30 | $1,252,500 | 10 |
| 2021-12-31 | $1,252,500 | 10 |
| 2022-01-31 | $1,252,500 | 10 |
| 2022-02-28 | $1,192,500 | 8 |
| 2022-03-31 | $1,192,500 | 8 |
| 2022-04-30 | $1,330,000 | 6 |
| 2022-05-31 | $1,450,000 | 5 |
| 2022-06-30 | $1,491,000 | 5 |
| 2022-07-31 | $1,491,000 | 5 |
| 2022-08-31 | $1,570,500 | 4 |
| 2022-09-30 | $1,775,000 | 4 |
| 2022-10-31 | $1,900,000 | 3 |
| 2022-11-30 | $1,900,000 | 5 |
| 2022-12-31 | $1,900,000 | 5 |
| 2023-01-31 | $1,900,000 | 5 |
| 2023-02-28 | $1,900,000 | 6 |
| 2023-03-31 | $1,900,000 | 6 |
| 2023-04-30 | $1,900,000 | 7 |
| 2023-05-31 | $1,900,000 | 9 |
| 2023-06-30 | $1,850,000 | 9 |
| 2023-07-31 | $1,875,000 | 10 |
| 2023-08-31 | $1,787,500 | 14 |
| 2023-09-30 | $1,725,000 | 13 |
| 2023-10-31 | $1,787,500 | 16 |
| 2023-11-30 | $1,787,500 | 16 |
| 2023-12-31 | $1,787,500 | 16 |
| 2024-01-31 | $1,590,000 | 19 |
| 2024-02-29 | $1,585,000 | 20 |
| 2024-03-31 | $1,585,000 | 20 |
| 2024-04-30 | $1,590,000 | 21 |
| 2024-05-31 | $1,580,000 | 19 |
| 2024-06-30 | $1,580,000 | 19 |
| 2024-07-31 | $1,535,000 | 18 |
| 2024-08-31 | $1,516,000 | 14 |
| 2024-09-30 | $1,580,000 | 15 |
| 2024-10-31 | $1,516,000 | 12 |
| 2024-11-30 | $1,452,000 | 11 |
| 2024-12-31 | $1,580,000 | 13 |
| 2025-01-31 | $1,631,100 | 11 |
| 2025-02-28 | $1,631,100 | 9 |
| 2025-03-31 | $1,665,550 | 10 |
| 2025-04-30 | $1,631,100 | 9 |
| 2025-05-31 | $1,631,100 | 9 |
| 2025-06-30 | $1,665,550 | 8 |
| 2025-07-31 | $1,725,000 | 9 |
| 2025-08-31 | $1,780,000 | 12 |
| 2025-09-30 | $1,875,000 | 12 |
| 2025-10-31 | $1,875,000 | 12 |
| 2025-11-30 | $1,915,000 | 11 |
| 2025-12-31 | $1,915,000 | 9 |
| 2026-01-31 | $1,915,000 | 9 |
| 2026-02-28 | $1,907,500 | 10 |
| 2026-03-31 | $1,900,000 | 10 |
| 2026-04-30 | $1,907,500 | 10 |
| 2026-05-31 | $1,900,000 | 11 |
| 2026-06-30 | $1,900,000 | 12 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $715/wk | 8 |
| 2021-08-31 | $715/wk | 8 |
| 2021-09-30 | $715/wk | 8 |
| 2021-10-31 | $715/wk | 8 |
| 2021-11-30 | $780/wk | 9 |
| 2021-12-31 | $780/wk | 9 |
| 2022-01-31 | $790/wk | 8 |
| 2022-02-28 | $780/wk | 7 |
| 2022-03-31 | $790/wk | 8 |
| 2022-04-30 | $790/wk | 8 |
| 2022-05-31 | $835/wk | 6 |
| 2022-06-30 | $835/wk | 6 |
| 2022-07-31 | $1,000/wk | 4 |
| 2022-08-31 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-09-30 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-10-31 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-11-30 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2022-12-31 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2023-01-31 | $795/wk | 3 |
| 2023-02-28 | $795/wk | 3 |
| 2023-03-31 | $795/wk | 5 |
| 2023-04-30 | $795/wk | 5 |
| 2023-05-31 | $795/wk | 5 |
| 2023-06-30 | $788/wk | 6 |
| 2023-07-31 | $788/wk | 6 |
| 2023-08-31 | $788/wk | 6 |
| 2023-09-30 | $788/wk | 6 |
| 2023-10-31 | $780/wk | 5 |
| 2023-11-30 | $780/wk | 5 |
| 2023-12-31 | $815/wk | 6 |
| 2024-01-31 | $815/wk | 6 |
| 2024-02-29 | $725/wk | 6 |
| 2024-03-31 | $725/wk | 6 |
| 2024-04-30 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2024-05-31 | $725/wk | 4 |
| 2024-06-30 | $725/wk | 4 |
| 2024-07-31 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2024-08-31 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2024-09-30 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2024-10-31 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2024-11-30 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2024-12-31 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2025-01-31 | $850/wk | 5 |
| 2025-02-28 | $925/wk | 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2025-04-30 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2025-05-31 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2025-06-30 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2025-07-31 | $1,000/wk | 3 |
| 2025-08-31 | $850/wk | 1 |
| 2025-09-30 | $850/wk | 1 |
| 2025-10-31 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2025-11-30 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2025-12-31 | $800/wk | 3 |
| 2026-01-31 | $650/wk | 2 |
| 2026-02-28 | $650/wk | 2 |
| 2026-03-31 | $650/wk | 2 |
| 2026-04-30 | $650/wk | 2 |
| 2026-05-31 | $650/wk | 2 |
| 2026-06-30 | $650/wk | 2 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | — | $800 | $1.66m | $2.23m |
| Median rent | — | $800/wk | — | — |
| Implied yield | — | 5200.0% | — | — |
| Address | Sold price |
|---|---|
| 165 Morrison Road, Cedar Creek | $2,550,000 |
| 4 Stony Creek Court, Cedar Creek | $2,375,000 |
| 26 Krakatinni Close, Cedar Creek | $2,125,000 |
| 66 Morrison Road, Cedar Creek | $1,900,000 |
| 9 Panorama Drive, Cedar Creek | $1,900,000 |
| 1 Bellbird Court, Cedar Creek | $1,595,000 |
| 901 Cedar Creek Road, Cedar Creek | $1,502,000 |
| 38 Halls Road, Cedar Creek | $1,206,500 |