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Kobble Creek

QLD 4520City of Moreton Bay → Dayboro and North Pine hinterlandprofiled 2026-07-18
Median price
$1,425,000
5.6%
Median rent
$1,300/wk
76.9%
Gross yield
4.7%
median rent ×52 ÷ median price
Sales 12m
5
1 rental listings
Saved favourites
0
in your collection
Room demand
people per room listed

Scores 0–10 against the SMSF rubric · edit data/scores.json

Overall
6.2
weighted 20% past · 35% present · 45% future
Past
6.6
Price 8.9%/yr over 5 yrs (6.0) · rent 16.6%/yr (9.5) · thin 5-sale market, one negative stretch (5.0) · flash-flood/landslip-punctuated arc (5.5).
Present
5.9
Yield ~4.7% on one listing (9.0) · thin tenant pool, 5.5% rented (3.5) · conditions 4.0 — crime & flood mixed, infrastructure & maintenance bad · momentum solid but noisy (6.5).
Future
6.3
Supply — rural scarcity (8.5) · demand — scenic lifestyle, no catalyst (4.0) · yield trajectory firm but single-listing (6.3) · climate — flash-flood/landslip (5.5).

The good, the bad, the ugly narrative verdict — evidence in the lens below · edit data/verdicts.json

The good

On the mechanical rubric it tops the group — a ~4.7% stated yield and the strongest 5-year rent CAGR (~16.6%) — behind real rural-zoned scarcity near the Samford and Dayboro nodes.

The bad

That yield and rent growth rest on a single rental listing (a $1,300/wk let against a $1.425M median) and five sales a year — noise, not a signal — and only ~5.5% of homes are rented.

The ugly

Feb-2022 routed Mount Glorious's ~2m of rain through Kobble Creek and council monitored landslip-prone roads here; flash-flood, landslip and bushfire exposure are all liquidity risks you cannot insure away.

Net read from the data

The headline score flatters a two-datapoint market. Treat it as a lifestyle-acreage hold, not a yield play — only sensible on a dry, stable-access, low-maintenance block for a fund content to bank scarcity over a very long hold.

Investment lens 3 good · 3 mixed · 3 bad · computed from data + sourced research — each row cites its source

DimensionVerdictWhy
Capital growth Mixed8.9% compound over 5 yrs, 5.6% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below.
trend data (this DB)
Rental yield Good4.7% gross — strong; can approach self-funding at LRBA rates.
PropTrack via suburb page
Flood risk MixedUpper catchment: the ~2m of rain that fell at Mount Glorious in Feb 2022 drained through Kobble Creek and council monitored landslip-prone roads here — flash-flood plus landslip access risk; check the address.
QLD Parliament (Boyd speech 2022); MBRC road-closure reports
Crime MixedNo published suburb-level rate — a ~654-person locality under the very-low Dayboro/Petrie divisions; directionally low but unverified.
OpenStats 2022-24 (division-level)
Infrastructure BadNo township, rail or hospital; ~30 min to Petrie, with Dayboro village and Samford the nearest nodes — thin amenity.
Transport factpack (est.)
Owner-occupier appeal Good94% owned / 6% rented, 85% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand).
ABS via suburb page
New supply risk GoodRural-zoned scarcity with no greenfield pipeline under the 75%-rural policy.
Supply factpack; MBRC Planning Scheme
Distance to rail BadNo station; ~30 min to Petrie rail — outside any commuter catchment.
Translink network; transport factpack
Housing stock & upkeep BadAcreage stock plus landslip-prone access roads — house upkeep and driveway/road exposure the fund cannot borrow to fix.
editorial; MBRC 2022 landslip monitoring

5-year trend rolling 12-month medians, exact chart data

Median house sale price

each point = median of the 12 months ending then
$885k$1.14m$1.40m$1.65m202120222023202420252026
View data table
MonthValueSample
2021-07-31$937,5006
2021-08-31$1,100,0007
2021-09-30$950,0008
2021-10-31$1,150,00010
2021-11-30$1,150,00010
2021-12-31$1,200,00011
2022-01-31$1,162,50012
2022-02-28$1,200,00013
2022-03-31$1,200,00011
2022-04-30$1,162,50012
2022-05-31$1,162,50012
2022-06-30$1,200,00011
2022-07-31$1,200,00011
2022-08-31$1,175,00010
2022-09-30$1,225,0009
2022-10-31$1,212,5006
2022-11-30$1,125,0005
2022-12-31$1,022,5004
2023-01-31$1,015,0005
2023-02-28$1,015,0005
2023-03-31$967,5006
2023-04-30$1,175,0007
2023-05-31$1,175,0007
2023-06-30$1,251,75010
2023-07-31$1,251,75010
2023-08-31$1,328,5009
2023-09-30$1,328,5009
2023-10-31$1,328,5009
2023-11-30$1,300,00011
2023-12-31$1,237,50012
2024-01-31$1,237,50010
2024-02-29$1,212,50010
2024-03-31$1,250,0009
2024-04-30$1,250,0007
2024-05-31$1,250,0007
2024-06-30$1,250,0005
2024-07-31$1,250,0005
2024-08-31$1,250,0005
2024-09-30$1,250,0005
2024-10-31$1,250,0005
2024-11-30$1,250,0003
2024-12-31$1,275,0003
2025-01-31$1,275,0005
2025-02-28$1,312,5004
2025-03-31$1,312,5004
2025-04-30$1,312,5004
2025-05-31$1,312,5004
2025-06-30$1,350,0003
2025-07-31$1,487,5004
2025-08-31$1,487,5004
2025-09-30$1,600,0005
2025-10-31$1,600,0005
2025-11-30$1,512,5006
2025-12-31$1,600,0005
2026-01-31$1,600,0003
2026-02-28$1,600,0003
2026-03-31$1,512,5004
2026-04-30$1,512,5004
2026-05-31$1,425,0005
2026-06-30$1,425,0005

Median weekly house rent

same rolling 12-month window
$436$745$1055$1364202120222023202420252026
View data table
MonthValueSample
2021-07-31$610/wk4
2021-08-31$610/wk4
2021-09-30$610/wk4
2021-10-31$610/wk4
2021-11-30$620/wk3
2021-12-31$620/wk3
2022-01-31$620/wk3
2022-02-28$620/wk3
2022-03-31$620/wk3
2022-04-30$620/wk3
2022-05-31$610/wk2
2022-06-30$620/wk3
2022-07-31$710/wk4
2022-08-31$750/wk4
2022-09-30$750/wk4
2022-10-31$750/wk4
2022-11-30$750/wk4
2022-12-31$750/wk4
2023-01-31$750/wk4
2023-02-28$750/wk4
2023-03-31$800/wk3
2023-04-30$800/wk3
2023-05-31$750/wk4
2023-06-30$725/wk4
2023-07-31$725/wk4
2023-08-31$700/wk3
2023-09-30$618/wk2
2023-10-31$618/wk2
2023-11-30$618/wk2
2023-12-31$618/wk2
2024-01-31$618/wk2
2024-02-29$618/wk2
2024-03-31$618/wk2
2024-04-30$618/wk2
2024-05-31$618/wk2
2024-06-30$625/wk2
2024-07-31$500/wk1
2024-08-31$500/wk1
2024-09-30$500/wk1
2024-10-31$500/wk1
2024-11-30$500/wk1
2024-12-31$500/wk1
2025-01-31$820/wk1
2025-02-28$820/wk1
2025-03-31$820/wk1
2025-04-30$820/wk1
2025-05-31$735/wk2
2025-06-30$735/wk2
2025-07-31$735/wk2
2025-08-31$735/wk2
2025-09-30$735/wk2
2025-10-31$735/wk2
2025-11-30$735/wk2
2025-12-31$735/wk2
2026-01-31$820/wk3
2026-02-28$975/wk2
2026-03-31$975/wk2
2026-04-30$975/wk2
2026-05-31$1,300/wk1
2026-06-30$1,300/wk1

By bedroom count median sale price, weekly rent, implied gross yield

2 bed3 bed4 bed5+ bed
Median price$1.41m$1.43m$1.42m$2.05m
Median rent$1,000/wk
Implied yield2.5%

Demographics

Population 654 (metro 2,526,238)Income $2,647/wk (43.2% above metro)Average age 45Household size 2.9
Age groups
Under 15 17.7%15–64 67.9%65+ 17.6%
Households
Family 85%Shared 2%Single 13%
Ownership
Owned 94.5%Rented 5.5%
62% of owners have a mortgage

Room rentals renting out a room

Average room rent
Demand
people looking per room listed

Recently sold comps from the suburb page · 2026-07-18

AddressSold price
168 Hipathites Road, Kobble Creek$1,700,000
14 Greensill Lane, Kobble Creek$1,414,000
19 Aitcheson Road, Kobble Creek$1,220,000

Saved houses in Kobble Creek 0 favourited · links open the listing

No favourites saved in this suburb.