The anchor suburb: the largest population (3,208) and deepest transaction market here (28 sales), 1st-percentile crime, the Samford Village node and schools next door, and 26.4% price growth last year in supply-locked Rural Residential land.
A $2.275M median at ~2.4% yield with only 4% of homes rented means deeply negative, trapped cash flow — this is a prestige capital-growth belt, not an income market.
South Pine flooding intensified through the valley in Feb 2022, so flood is street-real on the creek flats; combined with acreage septic/tank upkeep and no rail, the fund carries costs it cannot borrow to fix.
The strongest all-round suburb in the subregion, but still a weak SMSF fit on yield and liquidity. Only a well-funded long-hold capital play on a dry, elevated, newer-built lot makes sense — and only with the address cleared on MBRC Flood Check.
| Dimension | Verdict | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Capital growth | ◐ Mixed | 11.6% compound over 5 yrs, 26.4% last 12m. Past growth is already in the price — sustaining it depends on the supply picture below. trend data (this DB) |
| Rental yield | ✗ Bad | 2.4% gross — heavy negative cash flow inside the fund — the growth has to justify it. PropTrack via suburb page |
| Flood risk | ◐ Mixed | South Pine River flooding intensified through the Samford Valley in Feb 2022; low creek flats inundate while elevated acreage sits clear — a street/address-level call on MBRC Flood Check. Nikki Boyd Pine Rivers speech 2022; MBRC flood mapping |
| Crime | ✓ Good | Violent crime 187/100k — 1st percentile, ~95% below the QLD average — with break-ins and MV theft both down ~70%. Among the lowest-crime suburbs in the dataset. OpenStats 2022–24 |
| Infrastructure | ◐ Mixed | Samford Rd arterial to Ferny Grove/Brisbane; Samford State School and Steiner school; adjoins the Samford Village retail node. No rail, nearest hospital TPCH Chermside. Transport factpack 2026; Wikipedia 'Samford' |
| Owner-occupier appeal | ✓ Good | 95% owned / 4% rented, 91% family households — owner-occupier depth supports prices and resale; verify tenant demand separately (listings volume, room demand). ABS via suburb page |
| New supply risk | ✓ Good | Rural Residential large-lot zoning with a Lot Size Overlay and the 75%-rural-preservation policy; very limited subdivision — structural scarcity supports established-house values. MBRC Planning Scheme; supply factpack |
| Distance to rail | ✗ Bad | No station; nearest rail Ferny Grove ~15–20 min drive via Samford Rd (Samford–Dayboro line closed 1955). Translink; Wikipedia 'Samford railway station' |
| Housing stock & upkeep | ◐ Mixed | Large prestige acreage of mixed eras — many newer architect builds — on tank/septic; long driveways and bushfire clearing add upkeep the LRBA cannot fund. editorial — acreage-services judgment |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $1,325,000 | 54 |
| 2021-08-31 | $1,325,000 | 54 |
| 2021-09-30 | $1,350,000 | 55 |
| 2021-10-31 | $1,400,000 | 57 |
| 2021-11-30 | $1,440,000 | 54 |
| 2021-12-31 | $1,450,000 | 51 |
| 2022-01-31 | $1,500,000 | 49 |
| 2022-02-28 | $1,610,000 | 49 |
| 2022-03-31 | $1,630,000 | 50 |
| 2022-04-30 | $1,585,000 | 46 |
| 2022-05-31 | $1,560,000 | 43 |
| 2022-06-30 | $1,601,000 | 42 |
| 2022-07-31 | $1,642,000 | 37 |
| 2022-08-31 | $1,650,000 | 39 |
| 2022-09-30 | $1,650,000 | 41 |
| 2022-10-31 | $1,642,000 | 37 |
| 2022-11-30 | $1,646,000 | 38 |
| 2022-12-31 | $1,650,000 | 39 |
| 2023-01-31 | $1,590,000 | 40 |
| 2023-02-28 | $1,590,000 | 40 |
| 2023-03-31 | $1,572,500 | 42 |
| 2023-04-30 | $1,585,000 | 41 |
| 2023-05-31 | $1,560,000 | 41 |
| 2023-06-30 | $1,585,000 | 41 |
| 2023-07-31 | $1,617,500 | 44 |
| 2023-08-31 | $1,650,000 | 41 |
| 2023-09-30 | $1,668,000 | 39 |
| 2023-10-31 | $1,664,000 | 42 |
| 2023-11-30 | $1,660,000 | 39 |
| 2023-12-31 | $1,630,000 | 40 |
| 2024-01-31 | $1,660,000 | 38 |
| 2024-02-29 | $1,664,000 | 38 |
| 2024-03-31 | $1,720,000 | 36 |
| 2024-04-30 | $1,740,000 | 37 |
| 2024-05-31 | $1,825,000 | 38 |
| 2024-06-30 | $1,800,000 | 39 |
| 2024-07-31 | $1,780,000 | 40 |
| 2024-08-31 | $1,760,000 | 43 |
| 2024-09-30 | $1,753,750 | 46 |
| 2024-10-31 | $1,757,500 | 45 |
| 2024-11-30 | $1,778,375 | 48 |
| 2024-12-31 | $1,800,000 | 51 |
| 2025-01-31 | $1,810,000 | 53 |
| 2025-02-28 | $1,810,000 | 51 |
| 2025-03-31 | $1,800,000 | 50 |
| 2025-04-30 | $1,800,000 | 53 |
| 2025-05-31 | $1,800,000 | 55 |
| 2025-06-30 | $1,800,000 | 54 |
| 2025-07-31 | $1,800,000 | 51 |
| 2025-08-31 | $1,810,000 | 49 |
| 2025-09-30 | $1,830,000 | 45 |
| 2025-10-31 | $1,850,000 | 45 |
| 2025-11-30 | $1,900,000 | 43 |
| 2025-12-31 | $1,850,000 | 39 |
| 2026-01-31 | $1,850,000 | 35 |
| 2026-02-28 | $1,945,000 | 37 |
| 2026-03-31 | $2,202,000 | 37 |
| 2026-04-30 | $2,225,000 | 35 |
| 2026-05-31 | $2,237,500 | 30 |
| 2026-06-30 | $2,275,000 | 28 |
| Month | Value | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | $800/wk | 14 |
| 2021-08-31 | $800/wk | 14 |
| 2021-09-30 | $800/wk | 11 |
| 2021-10-31 | $800/wk | 11 |
| 2021-11-30 | $920/wk | 13 |
| 2021-12-31 | $1,075/wk | 10 |
| 2022-01-31 | $1,100/wk | 9 |
| 2022-02-28 | $1,100/wk | 9 |
| 2022-03-31 | $1,100/wk | 11 |
| 2022-04-30 | $1,100/wk | 13 |
| 2022-05-31 | $1,100/wk | 13 |
| 2022-06-30 | $1,075/wk | 15 |
| 2022-07-31 | $1,075/wk | 15 |
| 2022-08-31 | $1,000/wk | 15 |
| 2022-09-30 | $1,000/wk | 17 |
| 2022-10-31 | $1,000/wk | 18 |
| 2022-11-30 | $1,000/wk | 19 |
| 2022-12-31 | $1,000/wk | 19 |
| 2023-01-31 | $1,000/wk | 18 |
| 2023-02-28 | $1,000/wk | 18 |
| 2023-03-31 | $1,000/wk | 17 |
| 2023-04-30 | $995/wk | 17 |
| 2023-05-31 | $950/wk | 17 |
| 2023-06-30 | $973/wk | 18 |
| 2023-07-31 | $925/wk | 18 |
| 2023-08-31 | $900/wk | 17 |
| 2023-09-30 | $900/wk | 17 |
| 2023-10-31 | $925/wk | 16 |
| 2023-11-30 | $900/wk | 12 |
| 2023-12-31 | $900/wk | 11 |
| 2024-01-31 | $900/wk | 11 |
| 2024-02-29 | $900/wk | 10 |
| 2024-03-31 | $900/wk | 10 |
| 2024-04-30 | $900/wk | 11 |
| 2024-05-31 | $900/wk | 10 |
| 2024-06-30 | $900/wk | 8 |
| 2024-07-31 | $1,025/wk | 8 |
| 2024-08-31 | $1,200/wk | 6 |
| 2024-09-30 | $1,100/wk | 7 |
| 2024-10-31 | $1,100/wk | 7 |
| 2024-11-30 | $1,100/wk | 10 |
| 2024-12-31 | $1,100/wk | 10 |
| 2025-01-31 | $1,100/wk | 11 |
| 2025-02-28 | $1,100/wk | 11 |
| 2025-03-31 | $1,050/wk | 12 |
| 2025-04-30 | $1,050/wk | 12 |
| 2025-05-31 | $1,050/wk | 12 |
| 2025-06-30 | $1,050/wk | 12 |
| 2025-07-31 | $1,100/wk | 12 |
| 2025-08-31 | $1,100/wk | 13 |
| 2025-09-30 | $1,150/wk | 12 |
| 2025-10-31 | $1,150/wk | 12 |
| 2025-11-30 | $1,150/wk | 12 |
| 2025-12-31 | $1,150/wk | 12 |
| 2026-01-31 | $1,150/wk | 12 |
| 2026-02-28 | $1,100/wk | 10 |
| 2026-03-31 | $1,100/wk | 10 |
| 2026-04-30 | $1,200/wk | 9 |
| 2026-05-31 | $1,200/wk | 9 |
| 2026-06-30 | $1,065/wk | 8 |
| 2 bed | 3 bed | 4 bed | 5+ bed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $720 | — | $2.05m | $2.75m |
| Median rent | $720/wk | — | $1,000/wk | $2,000/wk |
| Implied yield | 5200.0% | — | 2.5% | 3.8% |
| Address | Sold price |
|---|---|
| 9 Woodglen Court, Samford Valley | $3,675,000 |
| 15 Burton Lane, Samford Valley | $3,600,000 |
| 19 Woodview Street, Samford Valley | $3,500,000 |
| 13 Valray Place, Samford Valley | $2,700,000 |
| 21 Castlewood Court, Samford Valley | $2,315,000 |
| 6 Haigh Cres, Samford Valley | $2,225,000 |
| 155 Mount O'Reilly Road, Samford Valley | $1,945,000 |
| 128 Mount O'Reilly Road, Samford Valley | $1,740,000 |
| 19 Woodfern Court, Samford Valley | $1,740,000 |
| 15 Gibbons Road, Samford Valley | $1,200,000 |